Mathematics of Poker: Odds and Outs

  • NL BSS
  • NL BSS
(20 Votes) 14622


This video with Lisa Grant looks at the Mathematics of Poker Odds and Outs. Is it worth continuing with your hand ? How many cards can help you improve the hand you have? What hands are possible with the cards you have and the community cards? All this is answered and more.


odds out Theory Video

Comments (20)

newest first
  • charlief


    Great video! Helped me a lot.
  • aussiebeast9


    helped me out
  • thewheel51


    Excellant! I learnt alot from this.
  • edilgreve


    Brilliant video
  • penno10


    Very helpful, thanks poker strategy.
  • AleMantovani


    All the videos about odds and outs are great! Congratulations!
  • TomPokeris


  • pppppp555555


    Graet video that I dont understand. Keep on going.


    At 8:45 i dont get it.

    Flop: 9 for flush draw I would say 8 because someone might have ace spades. And for the gut shot y not 4 outs instead of the 3? theirs no king on flop?

    Turn: 8 outs? none of these outs beat a full house so if ur counting them as outs y not count the other remaining outs. Got me sooo confused.....
  • FishermansFriend



    On the flop Ks is already included in your flush outs so you don't count it once again for the gutshot. The argument for discounting As is valid but even if one of you ropponents have an ace, only 1/4 of the times is he going to have the As, and it won't make a huge difference anyway. There's always some liberty in discounting outs since it's an estimation.
    On the turn, again you're estimating your equity by simulating the cases when villain has a full house, but since there's a low chance for that you are only discounting 1 out. Again at this point it will make no difference regarding your decision if you discount 1 or more.
  • noFX13


    VEry good lesson. But don't try in every hand calculate every move and nummber. Cause after some 10 hands you head will explode, do it when you know this is right time ti calculate :) Good luck :)
  • NoOneSpcl


    to the previous commentator:
    Actually, you should know your odds on every draw inside out on every hand if you want to play draws profitably in the long run. If your head finds it difficult, train it to love odds. It's the right time to know the odds whenever you have a draw.

    Otherwise you either:

    1) play incorrect call/folds which are always -EV in the long run, OR

    2) cannot reach correct decisions of whether to play a draw aggressively against a specific opponent (you can assess your fold equity if you know the opponent or have some stats on him, but you still need to assess your draw equity in order to know how to react to his/her actions during the hand)
  • NoOneSpcl


    Though there is SOME truth in not calculating it on every hand, but the reason is different: You should know most draws' and draw combinations' odds inside out without calculating them. In fact, that is one of the reasons to train in calculating them.

    That way, when you got the basics 100% figured out, you can focus on more difficult and/or marginal decisions with draws.
  • TheRichard


    Why you are not teaching "Rule of 2 and 4"? It is much easier for begginers
  • TheRichard


    "Rule of 4 and 2"
  • Pouserly2


    Good vedio..
  • dadekerz


    Zadal jsem češtinu, ale videa jsou anglicky :( navíc je tu vše placené!
  • Resilence


    Finnaly I think I understood now, after 4 times reading and watching this :P
    But not gonna be the last time to watch this video.
    Good explanation afterall :)
  • RASI99


  • Maarteen


    Extremely important basics of poker math. Thanks we have a video to refer to anytime we need to remember these.