{"id":21831,"date":"2008-07-22T11:40:00","date_gmt":"2008-07-22T11:40:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.pokerstrategy.com\/zh\/strategy\/854\/"},"modified":"2026-06-10T06:50:17","modified_gmt":"2026-06-10T06:50:17","slug":"854","status":"publish","type":"strategy","link":"https:\/\/www.pokerstrategy.com\/zh\/strategy\/weekly-sng\/854\/","title":{"rendered":"JJ\u6253\u6cd5\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

JJ打法分析<\/h1>\n\n\n
\n

介绍<\/h1>\n<\/td>\n

作者：Unam1337<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>

\n在这篇文章里我们来分析一对JJ遇到对手在我们之前已经决策的情况下的打法。第一手牌我们面临着对手在我们前面加注（Raise）的问题，第二手牌有一位玩家先下注而另外一位玩家甚至全押（All-In）。<\/p>

<\/p>

\n
\n
\n

\n\t\t\t\t<\/a>
\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t<\/b><\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/blockquote>

<\/p>

Hand 1<\/h1>

\nPokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney,
\nBig Blind is t100 (6 handed)\n<\/p>

\n
\n<\/b>\n<\/p>

\nsaw flop<\/b>|saw
\nshowdown<\/font><\/b>\n<\/p>

\n\n<\/p>

\nUTG (t1160)\n<\/p>

\nMP (t4720)\n<\/p>

\nCO
\n(t2335)<\/font><\/b>\n<\/p>

\nButton (t4125)\n<\/p>

\nSB (t1045)\n<\/p>

\nHero
\n(t1615)<\/font><\/b>\n<\/p>

\n\n<\/p>

\nPreflop:<\/b> Hero is BB with
\nJ<\/b>, J<\/b>.\n<\/p>

\n2 folds<\/i><\/font>,
\nCO raises to t300<\/font>, 2
\nfolds<\/i><\/font>, Hero raises to t1615<\/font>, CO
\ncalls t1315.\n<\/p>

解析
\n<\/h2>

我们手里的一对JJ是一把很强的牌，不管我们对手的起手牌范围（Handrange）有多大，只要他以7%或者更多的牌从Cutoff位置下注，那么我们可以很轻松的全押。这样的话我们的对手必须考虑他愿不愿意压下他所有筹码来跟我们拼。我们的优势在于不管对方怎样去选择，不管他怎样去跟注，不管他只用AA去跟注或以随便哪2张下过注的牌（ATC=any two cards）去跟注，我们都不在乎。因为我们的决定是有正的期望值（+EV）， 所以我们的选择是正确的。<\/p>

Hand2
\n<\/h1>

\nNo-Limit Hold'em Tournament ($11),
\nBlinds 200\/400 (4 handed)<\/font><\/b>\n<\/p>

\n\n<\/p>

\n(CO) (8,560 )\n<\/p>

\n(BU) ( 2,640 )\n<\/p>

\n(SB) ( 3,180 )\n<\/p>

\n(BB) ( 5,620 )\n<\/p>

\n\n<\/p>

\nPreflop:<\/b> Hero is SB with
\nJ<\/b>, J<\/b>\n<\/p>

\nCO raises to 1.200<\/font>,
\nBU raises to 2.640 (All-In)<\/font>, 2
\nfolds<\/font><\/i>, CO calls 1.440\n<\/p>

解析
\n<\/h2>

Cutoff有很大的筹码量，所以我给他的起手范围也相当的松（loose），我估计他为了攻击盲注而会下注的牌有35%。由于Button是小筹码，他也还剩下一点弃牌率所以他会以10%牌来全押,这样他还有机会让Cutoff弃牌。因为Button本身是小筹码，所以他早晚必须采取行动，所以我觉得我所估计的10%有极大的可能性。<\/p>

我故意没有去考虑Button会不会是一位非常强或弱的玩家，也许他有CO的读牌（read on Cutoff ），所以会以更差的牌全押，这样的情况只会导致我们提高全押的可能性。<\/p>

让我们假设一下，在小筹码没有全押的情况下我们必须以以上的例子全押。我们不需要去管他怎么跟注。不管他用ATC（any two cards）跟注或以最好的10%甚至5%的牌跟注，我们都不必在乎。因为池底已经这么大了，而且我们给对手的起手范围是35%，在这情况下我们的决定是+EV.<\/p>

我们可以看到，如果小筹码没有全押的话，我们的选择一定是全押。<\/p>

现在我们退回到当时的局面：<\/p>

小筹码在两方面改变了我们当时的处境。第一，我们此刻只能以最好的牌继续打下去，第二，我们的EV在小筹码没有跟的情况下只是 1,5$而在小筹码的全押后是5$。(这些数字是我借助于ICM以当时的局面，筹码还有起手牌范围算出来的)<\/p>

所以我们此刻必须弃掉比较弱的牌，因为我们需要一把强到能赢摊牌的牌。不过JJ是一把我们在翻牌前全押，翻牌后不需考虑怎样打下去的牌所以我们不会犯错。<\/p>

我自己的全押范围在这里会是
\nJJ+ 和 AK. 这里再次提醒大家，我们不需要去考虑Cutoff的跟牌范围。<\/p>

大家必须重视和考虑到我们此刻的筹码比Button要多，要不然的话将会有更多对我们不利的结局出现。举个例子来说明我们现在有可能得到的结局。<\/p>

    \n
  1. \n

    \n\tCutoff赢了，我们是第3名\n\t<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  2. \n

    \n\tButton赢了底池不过我们赢了边池，我们还得继续玩下去，虽然只剩3个BB了不过我们还没有输\n\t<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  3. \n

    \n\tButton赢了底池而Cutoff赢了边池，我们被淘汰出局\n\t<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  4. \n

    \n\tButton在Cutoff弃牌后赢了底池我们还剩1,5 BB\n\t<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  5. \n

    \n\t我们赢了而且是筹码数最多的（Chipleader)\n\t<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>

    总结
    \n<\/h1>

    如果我们考虑到这些结局的话，那么只有第3个结局才能把我们淘汰出局。不过比JJ还要大的牌出现率不大，而且如果我们对手也拿了2张比JJ大的牌话，那么我们对手只有6张补数牌了。<\/p>

    如果我们考虑到每一方面那么我们可以看到，JJ在这里虽然只是一个很勉强的跟注，(像99我们就不能跟注)不过我们所期待的EV+相当的大。因为我们有相当大的机会进入钱区而且我们将会是大筹码，而我们变成小筹码甚至出局的风险不大。<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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