在结束行动的时候，如果你必须在跟注和弃牌之间做出决定，那么你的胜率是最重要的考虑因素。情况如下：<\/p>
- \n
- 你正面对一个全压。<\/li>\n
- 你的对手在河牌下注，且你不想加注。<\/li>\n<\/ul>
In these situations, following these three steps will help you to make the correct decision:在这些情况中，按照以下三个步骤将能帮你做出正确的决策：<\/p>
第一步:<\/strong> 计算所需的胜率。<\/p>
第二步:<\/strong> 给对手一个范围。<\/p>
第三步:<\/strong> 计算面对对手范围你的胜率。<\/p>
面对全压<\/h2>
$25 NL Hold'em (6 handed)<\/strong>
100BB Stacks<\/p>Preflop:<\/strong> Hero is Button with
![\"Qd\"](\"\/\/cdn-origin.pokerstrategy.com\/oldresources\/de\/PICS\/news\/Deck\/Qd4.png\" "\\"Qd\\"")
![\"Qh\"](\"\/\/cdn-origin.pokerstrategy.com\/oldresources\/de\/PICS\/news\/Deck\/Qh.png\" "\\"Qh\\"")
3 folds<\/span><\/em>, Hero raises to $0.50<\/span>, SB raises to $2.00<\/span>, 1 fold<\/span><\/em>, Hero raises to $5.00<\/span>, SB raises to $25.00 and is all-in<\/span>, Hero?<\/p>第一步:<\/strong> 计算所需胜率<\/h3>
所需胜率是在摊牌你必须多少概率赢下底池才能让这个跟注有利可图。<\/p>
所需胜率<\/strong> = 跟注价格\/ (底池大小+ <\/em>跟注价格<\/em>)<\/em><\/p>
跟注价格:<\/strong> 你的最后加注大小和全压大小之间的差距。<\/p>
底池大小:<\/strong> 你能赢下的所有钱。你加注的筹码，对手全压的筹码，盲注。<\/p>
记住，你只能从别人身上赢到与你自己所能投入底池的一样多的钱。所以，如果对手全压200BB，而你身上只有100BB，那么你就只能从他身上赢到100BB。<\/p>
在这手牌中，你需要40%的胜率才能让这个跟注有利可图。点击Soiler你可以找到准确地计算。<\/p>
第二步:<\/strong> 给对手一个范围<\/h3>
下面这个范围是一个很好的开始，因为许多对手会用这些牌在上面这种情况全压：<\/p>
JJ+, AK<\/p>
第三步:<\/strong><\/strong> 计算面对对手范围你的胜率<\/h3>
在这手牌中，你拿的是QQ，面对对手范围（JJ+，AK）有47%的胜率。比40%的所需胜率要高，所以你应该跟注。 <\/p>
如果AK不在对手的范围之内，也就是他只会用JJ+全压，那么面对这个范围，你的胜率刚好是40%。这与我们的所需胜率完全一样。跟注的话不赔不赚，但考虑到抽水就不划算了。<\/p>
如果对手只会用QQ+和AKs全压，那么你的QQ就只有29%的胜率。这比40%的所需胜率要少，所以你应该弃牌。<\/p>
面对河牌下注<\/h2>
$25 NL Hold'em (6 handed)<\/strong>
100BB Stacks<\/p>Preflop:<\/strong> Hero is Button with
![\"Qc\"](\"\/\/cdn-origin.pokerstrategy.com\/oldresources\/de\/PICS\/news\/Deck\/Qc4.png\" "\\"Qc\\"")
![\"Jc\"](\"\/\/cdn-origin.pokerstrategy.com\/oldresources\/de\/PICS\/news\/Deck\/Jc4.png\" "\\"Jc\\"")
2 folds<\/em><\/span>, CO raises to $0.75<\/span>, Hero calls $0.75, 2 folds<\/span><\/p>Flop:<\/strong> ($1.90)
![\"Qs\"](\"\/\/cdn-origin.pokerstrategy.com\/oldresources\/de\/PICS\/news\/Deck\/Qs.png\" "\\"Qs\\"")
![\"3s\"](\"\/\/cdn-origin.pokerstrategy.com\/oldresources\/de\/PICS\/news\/Deck\/3s.png\" "\\"3s\\"")
![\"9h\"](\"\/\/cdn-origin.pokerstrategy.com\/oldresources\/de\/PICS\/news\/Deck\/9h.png\" "\\"9h\\"")
(2 players)<\/span>
CO bets $1.30<\/span>, Hero calls $1.30<\/p>Turn: <\/strong>($4.50)
![\"4c\"](\"\/\/cdn-origin.pokerstrategy.com\/oldresources\/de\/PICS\/news\/Deck\/4c4.png\" "\\"4c\\"")
(2 players)<\/span>
CO bets $3.00<\/span>, Hero calls $3.00<\/p>River: <\/strong>($10.50)
![\"3h\"](\"\/\/cdn-origin.pokerstrategy.com\/oldresources\/de\/PICS\/news\/Deck\/3h.png\" "\\"3h\\"")
(2 players)<\/span>
CO bets $7.00<\/span>, Hero?<\/p>第一步:<\/strong> 计算所需胜率<\/h3>
所需胜率 = 跟注价格\/ (底池大小+ 跟注价格<\/em>)<\/em><\/p>
跟注价格是$7，底池大小是$17.50。<\/p>
所需胜率 = 7 \/ (17.50 + 7) = 7 \/ 24.50 = 0.29 ~ 29% 胜率<\/em><\/p>
<\/div>第二步:<\/strong> 给对手一个范围<\/h3>
对手在河牌下注的范围可能包括：<\/p>
- \n
- 成手牌: AA-QQ, 99, 33, AQ<\/li>\n
- 空气牌 (错过的同花听牌): As2s, As4s, As5s, As6s, As7s, As8s, AsTs, AsJs, AsKs, KsJs, KsTs, JsTs<\/li>\n<\/ul>
第三步:<\/strong><\/strong> 计算面对对手范围你的胜率<\/h3>
你可以利用Equilab计算你的胜率。在这个例子中，你有32%的胜率。比29%的所需胜率要高，也就是说，你可以做一个有利可图的跟注。<\/p>
牌面排除如何影响胜率<\/h2>
假设你在最后一个例子中拿的是一手不同的牌：你所持有的是
![\"As\"](\"\/\/cdn-origin.pokerstrategy.com\/oldresources\/de\/PICS\/news\/Deck\/As.png\" "\\"As\\"")
而不是。<\/p>你的牌看起来是比较好了，绝对牌力强度变强了。<\/p>
但正如你所知道的，你的决策永远都要根据你的相对牌力强度。所以，你必须再次计算面对对手范围你所持有的牌有多少胜率。<\/p>
结果：你的胜率从32%跌到了26%。你的胜率实际上更差了，应该要弃牌。<\/p>
原因如下：因为牌面排除，
不在在对手的范围之内。也就是说，你阻断了对手的大部分诈唬范围。现在他的范围组成如下：<\/p>- \n
- 成手牌: AA-QQ, 99, 33, AQ (#20)<\/li>\n
- 空气牌(错过的同花听牌): AsKs, AsJs, As8s, As7s, As6s, As5s, As4s, As2s, AsTs<\/span>, KsJs, KsTs, JsTs, (#12<\/span>, #3)<\/li>\n<\/ul>
如果你拿的是
而不是，那么对手在河牌的诈唬范围仅包括3个组合，而不是12个。面对这个范围，你只有26%的胜率，少多了。<\/p>所以，你应该弃牌，尽管你的绝对牌力强度实际上变强了。你的决策的基础永远都应该是相对牌力强度，也就是面对对手范围你所持有的牌的胜率。<\/p>
总结<\/h2>
![\"\"](\"\/\/cdn-origin.pokerstrategy.com\/2012\/12\/04\/Spickzettel_68c30533.jpg\")
<\/p>如果你面对一个全压或者一个河牌下注，你应该按照下面三个步骤来决定是跟注还是弃牌：<\/p>
- \n
- 第一步: <\/strong> 计算所需胜率
所需胜率 = 跟注价格\/ (底池大小+ <\/em>跟注价格<\/em>)<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>- \n
- 第二步:<\/strong> 给对手一个范围。<\/li>\n
- <\/strong>第三步:<\/strong> 计算面对对手范围你的胜率。<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
范围& […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":""},"strategy_category":[162],"strategy_level":[10],"class_list":["post-22138","strategy","type-strategy","status-publish","hentry","strategy_category-various-poker-"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
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<\/strong>第三步:<\/strong> 计算面对对手范围你的胜率。<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
- 第二步:<\/strong> 给对手一个范围。<\/li>\n
- 第一步: <\/strong> 计算所需胜率