Originally posted by Cylindrus
Played about 30 1$ Sng`s today and my all-in EV line dropped to -45 buy-ins. The line had been a little under brake even for about 150 games before today.
Why is this happening? Am I just making bad pushes/calls?
I have been running quite good today though
Edit: The EV line says I should be down 37 buy-ins today, even though I just have played 32.. How is this possible?
Or am I just misunderstanding what's the EV line is telling me?
Hi, Cylindrus!
Nice to see you in our forums. 150 games, or 200 games, or even 500 games is a meaningless sample. Don't try to make huge conclusions out of it. However, we should always aim to improve our game, double check spots we are unsure about, post hands in the evaluation forum, watch videos, play with ICM trainer or SnG Wiz etc. Improvement is a never ending process.
Why don't you rather post some push/fold hands in our SnG evaluation forum. This is the one that fits your requirements- Click, so our handjudges can share their professional opinion
Why is this happening? Could be just variance, could be bad play, could be both. It is good that you ask yourself these questions though as this is the first step of getting better at poker.
As for how is it possible to play 32 SnG and be 37 BI under EV wise-well, I think that, if let's say we stack off early in the tournament with KK vs AA, we are like 4:1 underdog, which means we should be .8 BI behind. We, however, spike a K on the board and win. Later in the tournament, we put our money in another big minus EV situation, but spike one of our few outs once again and win. That will add up to more than 1 BI behind EV wise. I also believe that risk aversion(say bubble big stack vs big stack) plays role. F.e we and other other big stack are sitting in the blinds, both have about 10bb. Small stack is sitting in the CO(utg) with 1.5bb. SB(other big stack) pushes and we call with 22 hoping that we flip. This BE call will turn into a huge equity looser as we are super risk-averse vs the other bigstack and we put our almost 100% finish ITM in danger. If I am wrong, however, please correct me. Very interesting question though!