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Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $13.26 (53 bb)
SB: $27.83 (111.3 bb)
BB: $23.02 (92.1 bb)
Hero (UTG+1): $14.95 (59.8 bb)
UTG+2: $26.88 (107.5 bb)
MP1: $26.79 (107.2 bb)
MP2: $41.12 (164.5 bb)
MP3: $28.49 (114 bb)
CO: $11.75 (47 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with A Q
Hero raises to $0.75, 3 folds, MP3 calls $0.75, 3 folds, BB calls $0.50

Flop: ($2.35) 7 T A (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1.34, MP3 folds, BB calls $1.34

Turn: ($5.03) Q (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2.50, BB raises to $5.25, Hero raises to $12.86 and is all-in, BB calls $7.61

River: ($30.75) 3 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

$30.75 pot ($1.38 rake)
Final Board: 7 T A Q 3
BB showed J K and won $29.37 ($14.42 net)
Hero mucked A Q and lost (-$14.95 net)

24/17/133 WTSD 33 FTCB 50.


ボード: A♦T♥7♥ Q♥
equity win tie
MP2 27.80% 22.50% 5.30% { QQ, TT, 77, AQs-ATs, A7s, QTs, KhJh, KhTh, AQo-ATo }
MP3 72.20% 66.89% 5.30% { AhQc }

what do you think of this range?


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9 replies
Gerv
Joined: 07.05.2008

Hey,

You are beat on the Turn -> fold

His range is Flushes (khi, Jhi, maybe any other) & some sets/straights
In any case you have 2 pair and you beat nothing so bet/calling is a very bad play

- Gerv


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Gonchan
Joined: 14.06.2011

on this spot, bet/fold would be prefered?
If I check, I couldn't get value from some marginal hand.

and if called, should I shove even no heart?


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Gerv
Joined: 07.05.2008

Originally posted by Gonchan
on this spot, bet/fold would be prefered?
If I check, I couldn't get value from some marginal hand.

and if called, should I shove even no heart?

Interesting thought. If we bet/fold, we assume that he will be check/calling hands that you beat

I think it is too thin to bet the Turn here because we can call a bluff on the river since we block the nutflush .
I would check back and valuebet the River or call the River when he bets

- Gerv


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Gonchan
Joined: 14.06.2011

hmm, I thought high WTSD showed he called with AJ or something because my PER was a bit low so FD is almost always out of mind.

What do you think his calling range?


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Gerv
Joined: 07.05.2008

He would check/call the Flop with most hands. Only AT/77/A7 {maybe} would check/raise the Flop

You do not have a significant sample size on his WTSD ;)


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Gonchan
Joined: 14.06.2011

エクイティ 勝ち 引分
MP2 36.36% 35.19% 1.17% { QQ, AJs, KJs, QTs, KhTh, AJo, KJo, QTo, AsKh, AcKh }
MP3 63.64% 62.48% 1.17% { AhQc }

this range still wrong?


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Gerv
Joined: 07.05.2008

Originally posted by Gonchan
エクイティ 勝ち 引分
MP2 36.36% 35.19% 1.17% { QQ, AJs, KJs, QTs, KhTh, AJo, KJo, QTo, AsKh, AcKh }
MP3 63.64% 62.48% 1.17% { AhQc }

this range still wrong?

Tell me for each hand you put in there why you think he will check/raise

Where are the flushes?


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Gonchan
Joined: 14.06.2011

QQ still redraw
KhTh obvious nuts
AK,AJ still value, but it may be called not raised
KJ still ahead ag my range
QTo two pair and in my range, complete flash is rare


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Gerv
Joined: 07.05.2008

Originally posted by Gonchan
QQ still redraw
KhTh obvious nuts
AK,AJ still value, but it may be called not raised
KJ still ahead ag my range
QTo two pair and in my range, complete flash is rare

I disagree with the two pairs because the flush is out there so they are less likely to check/raise. As I said before you are more drawing dead versus sets or better hands than you are up against worse 2pairs

- Gerv


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