PKR, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
MP: $2.18 (8.7 bb)
Hero (CO): $25 (100 bb)
BTN: $26.33 (105.3 bb)
SB: $40.86 (163.4 bb)
BB: $26.27 (105.1 bb)
UTG: $71.47 (285.9 bb)
Preflop: Hero is CO with J
J
UTG calls $0.25, MP folds, Hero raises to $1.25, BTN folds, SB raises to $3.50, 2 folds, Hero raises to $8.75, SB calls $5.25
Flop: ($18) 5 8 A
(2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks
Turn: ($18) 4
(2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks
River: ($18) 9 (2 players)
SB bets $9, Hero calls $9
Villain recently joined 2 of my tables and was betting and raising a lot.
BB is a loose-passive fish.
Villain probably thinks that I am isolating the fish light. I 4bet my hand for value and am willing to go broke with it preflop.
The Axx flop kind of suck as I guess he could have plenty of Ax in his range.
Is there value in betting/shoving the flop?
The turn bricks but I still dont see much value in betting/shoving. Maybe 99/TT could call but that's pretty much it.
His betsizing on the river inclines me to think that he is going for value rather than bluffing. Maybe QQ,KK,TT,99. Less likely are 55,88,44,76s.
On the other hand, he could be bluffing with KQ, trying to represent a value bet. This however is a remote possibility.
He is probably shoving AK preflop. Same for AQ but not sure. AQ,AJ he is probably shoving on turn.
So I need 25% equity.
Board: Ah8d5c4s9s
Equity Win Tie
MP2 26.32% 26.32% 0.00% { JJ }
MP3 73.68% 73.68% 0.00% { KK-QQ, TT-88, 55-44, KQs, 76s }
Without a bluffing hand such as KQs in his range it's bad.
Board: Ad8c5s4h9h
Equity Win Tie
MP2 17.65% 17.65% 0.00% { JJ }
MP3 82.35% 82.35% 0.00% { KK-QQ, TT-88, 55-44, 76s }
