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R AQ utg, fold to shove?

Hand discussions for Tournaments

Last Post by Tiltberger 14 years ago

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ronekinky

Joined: 25.04.2008

Posts: 518

24.11.2012, 20:44 0

Micromillions event 84. Villain was playing 12/10 after 60 hands. No 3bet..

PokerStars - $8+$0.80|7000/14000 NL - Holdem - 9 players

Hero (UTG): 402,334.00
UTG+1: 192,964.00
MP: 630,956.00
MP+1: 12,207.00
LP: 225,047.00
CO: 638,739.00
BTN: 271,227.00
SB: 802,091.00
BB: 404,172.00

Hero posts ante 1,750.00, UTG+1 posts ante 1,750.00, MP posts ante 1,750.00, MP+1 posts ante 1,750.00, LP posts ante 1,750.00, CO posts ante 1,750.00, BTN posts ante 1,750.00, SB posts ante 1,750.00, BB posts ante 1,750.00, SB posts SB 7,000.00, BB posts BB 14,000.00

Pre Flop: (36750.00) Hero has A♥ Q♣

Hero raises to 28,855.00, fold, fold, fold, LP raises to 223,297.00 and is all-in, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold

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3 replies

meepwn

Joined: 11.07.2011

Posts: 115

25.11.2012, 01:21 0

looks good to me, wp

I'd call with JJ+ AK probably

sexier than thou

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Wohmfg

Joined: 12.11.2009

Posts: 500

25.11.2012, 20:14 0

I definitely fold AQo.

JJ+, AK sounds good to me based on his tight stats.

My Blog!!!

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Tiltberger

Joined: 23.06.2005

Posts: 24,937

27.11.2012, 19:14 0

Hey ronekinky!

Against some players its a good call, against other snot!

you need to call 200 for 482 -> 41% minimum equity! And because you don't want to play breakeven 45% is good here!

de.pokerstrategy.com
Equity Win Tie
MP2 35.60% 26.46% 9.14% { AQo }
MP3 64.40% 55.26% 9.14% { 99+, AQs+, AQo+ }

against this range its pretty easy fold

de.pokerstrategy.com
Equity Win Tie
MP2 40.24% 33.31% 6.93% { AQo }
MP3 59.76% 52.82% 6.93% { 77+, AJs+, KQs, AQo+ }

this range too

it gets really good here:
de.pokerstrategy.com
Equity Win Tie
MP2 48.90% 43.83% 5.07% { AQo }
MP3 51.10% 46.04% 5.07% { 66+, ATs+, KJs+, QJs, AJo+, KQo }

So I would say the first 2 ranges are realistic for this player!
Good fold then!

Greets,
Tiltberger

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