NL50 SH AKs vs reg

Hi,

Dont bet so large on the Flop. 2.50 is enough.

As played, call once and give up.

Anything hugely wrong with going with the hand on the flop?

Yes, going all-in will be a huge mistake.

Look at villain's stats - He has a really low flop raise of 9%, and a very high fold to F cbet of 60%. You can be very sure that he's not messing around. In fact I think we should even just bet/fold, now that I look at his stats again.

He is definitely only raising here with combodraws, sets and trips. I would definitely bet/fold a smaller flush draw but with AKs it is not so clear.

http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: 8h8c5h
Equity Win Tie
MP2 33.25% 33.15% 0.10% { AhKh }
MP3 66.75% 66.65% 0.10% { A8s, T8s, 98s, 87s, 9h7h, 7h6h }

You can see that our equity is already pretty low at 33%. Not to mention that we can have reverse implied odds, or maybe he is raising 55 and 88 some % of the time and we are drawing completely dead.

If our equity was closer to 40% then I wouldn't mind a call so much.

Thanks.

Thanks mbml,

More questions. Whats a low, medium and high flop x/r %? And what does each contain? What % flop x/r would you want to see to go with this hand on the flop?

I ll do a 3bet here if he has something like >17 %, but will wait for mbml.High in my standard is >20% i think with that i'll shove TPGK

10-15% is what a normal TAG has,
<10% is what a nit or passive player has
16-20% is for LAG players
>20% is for hyper aggro players

I still don't think shoving this Flop is ever good. Just flat cos we are still ahead of worse draws with AK high and hope he gives up on the River.

In order to justify stacking off here, either the SPR needs to be shallower (like in 3b pots or vs midstacker), ranges need to be really wide (like in late positions), or board should at least have a ton of worse combo draws that can ship over your flop 3bet.