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AQ nl200 ,river shove vs bluffcatcher

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eszibit
Joined: 10.12.2007

Poker Stars, $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $233 (116.5 bb)
SB: $217.25 (108.6 bb)
BB: $769.57 (384.8 bb)
UTG+1: $408.07 (204 bb)
UTG+2: $368.01 (184 bb)
Hero (MP1): $234 (117 bb)
MP2: $237.74 (118.9 bb)
MP3: $62.38 (31.2 bb)
CO: $169.38 (84.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with Q A
2 folds, Hero raises to $6, MP2 calls $6, MP3 calls $6, 2 folds, SB calls $5, BB folds

Flop: ($26) K Q 5 (4 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, MP2 checks, MP3 bets $12, SB folds, Hero calls $12, MP2 calls $12

Turn: ($62) T (3 players)
Hero checks, MP2 checks, MP3 bets $16, Hero raises to $58, MP2 calls $58, MP3 folds

River: ($194) 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets $161.74 and is all-in, Hero folds

Results:

Spoiler

$194 pot ($3 rake)
Final Board: K Q 5 T 8
Hero mucked Q A and lost (-$76 net)
MP2 mucked and won $191 ($115 net)

MP2 reg i think ,saw him play at least 3-4 tables , for fr his stats are 27/13/4.2 3bet, only 70 hands
mp3 fish 37/3

I wanted to just check/fold but the fishes stack and bet sizing tells me i can call and he prob doesn't have a K.

I really think mp2 had a missed flush draw or a JT type of hand ..with such a small sample should i hero call there?


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3 replies

FLOP:
You are check folding flop?? I think thats super tight and not good.
You can cbet flop here fine, I think they are folding enough. I question whether MP2 is actually a reg given stats. Playing 4 tables doesn't mean anything these days.
Check call flop is fine and possibly better than cbetting.

TURN:
Why are you raising turn. Doing it doesn't make any logical sense to me, but it could potentially be ok depending on fish barreling range. Also possibly terrible given fish barreling range though.
I would probably fold or call turn without any reads, depending on how the timing felt and how fish has been playing prior to this hand.

LOL, MP2 overcall. I'm pretty sure he isn't a reg now. Because of that you can widen his pre flop range and flop call range. AJ maybe if hes bad enough to call flop - probably. Some kind of retarded trap with 2pair+. Almost never a bluff unless he is aggro crazy fish. I generally weight him towards value.
I think check folding river is definitely best vs most players after you play it this way.


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eszibit
Joined: 10.12.2007

I guess you are right about the flop cbet ,don't know why i thought it's a 6 way pot but still think a check-call is a bit better then a cbet.

turn easy check raise for value against the fish ,with that sizing ( i've been paying a lot of attention to fishes sizings ) and he has a worse hand then mine like 90% of the time.

mp2 still don't know if he is a reg or not,given the fact that it's FR and only 70 hands i don't think i can be sure ,although i'm inclined to think he is a nitty-er fish or a very bad reg.

Thanks for the analysis ,i actually have your video bookmarked and gonna watch it later :f_biggrin:


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Yep - check call prob better. But check calling gets you in awkward spots sometimes whereas cbetting turns their range face up.

Np, hope you enjoy the video.


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