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AJo, valuebet river ?

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staselu
Joined: 02.01.2008

IPoker, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

UTG: $10.68 (106.8 bb)
Hero (MP): $10 (100 bb)
CO: $4.73 (47.3 bb)
BTN: $10.04 (100.4 bb)
SB: $10.02 (100.2 bb)
BB: $15.57 (155.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A♣ J♥
UTG calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.45, 2 folds, SB calls $0.40, BB folds, UTG calls $0.35

Flop: ($1.45) 2♦ 8♠ A♦ (3 players)
SB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $1.08, SB calls $1.08, UTG folds

Turn: ($3.61) J♦ (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $2.70, SB calls $2.70

River: ($9.01) 5♣ (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $5.77 and is all-in, SB calls $5.77

stats:
35/16 vpip/pfr
cold call 30%
wts 28
total agg% 23
hands 1.4k

to profitable valuebet we need to have more than 50 % equity ?
In this spot we have close to 60%


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3 replies

Hi Staselu,

Preflop: looks fine

Postflop: I think you played the hand fine despite the flush coming down on the turn.

The only thing I might change is bet slightly smaller on the turn.

His range has so many Ax and even worse 2p that we can still vbet the river.


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staselu
Joined: 02.01.2008

when we decide to value bet, we must must estimate our equity against the villain range, and if it is > 50% then we can value bet ? Correct ?


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Originally posted by staselu
when we decide to value bet, we must must estimate our equity against the villain range, and if it is > 50% then we can value bet ? Correct ?

Yes, exactly.

Best way to estimate that is by counting combos of hands.

Exercises in equilab helps with that.


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