€2/€4 No Limit Holdem
PokerStars
2 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
Stacks:
SB (€431.32) 108bb
Hero (BB) (€522.57) 131bb
Pre-Flop: (€6, 2 players) Hero is BB A♦ 9♦
SB raises to €8, Hero calls €4
Flop: 3♥ 7♣ K♦ (€16, 2 players)
Hero checks, SB bets €12, Hero calls €12
Turn: 6♦ (€40, 2 players)
Hero checks, SB bets €20, Hero raises to €85.27, SB calls €65.27
River: 3♠ (€210.54, 2 players)
Hero goes all-in €417.30
Villain starts often tbls, but he is a weak reg with confirmed sizeing-tells.
His hu-stats are also pretty bad:
fold vs steal (vs. minraises): 62%
3b: 31,8%, while coldcalling only 7% (44)! and his fodl to 3b is also pretty high so far: 73%
The situation OTT is simple:
I have herea strong confirmed read, that whenever his 2ndBar-size is exaclty his size in this hand, he has a (for him) weaker Madehand he bets here for value to checkback on rivers (this are MPGK-hands and TPNK-hands).
So C/Caling is loosing in valu cause I have at this point no SD-value.
I do not know yet if he can fold his (for him) weaker madehands at any point vs a lot of pressure - so do you think its reasonalbe here to find out by C/Ring here to bout 4x and overjamming rivers?
Or how you would react to his 2ndbarell(size) with the information i have given you?
my C/Call OTT and blufflead some rivers such as a 7, mb a 3 woul be an option + small leading (mb underleading) diamoands and A-rivers?