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AT flopping two pairs on a scary board vs raise from a tight reg.

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noob3r
Joined: 20.11.2009

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $100(BB) Replayer
SB ($4,198)
BB ($4,011)
UTG ($5,556)
UTG+1 ($2,920)
UTG+2 ($4,079)
Hero ($5,443)
MP2 ($4,126)
CO ($3,218)
BTN ($2,199)

Dealt to Hero T♣ A♠

fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $200, fold, CO calls $200, fold, fold, BB calls $100

FLOP ($740) T♦ J♥ A♦

BB checks, Hero bets $420, CO raises to $900, BB folds, Hero ?????

Ok.

The CO guy is a pretty tight regular player running 14/11 w/ 8,3 3bet for 120 hands.

What range do you guys think he is raising with on that board? I cant really see any weaker hand then ours he would raise for value, or semi-bluff. Doubt he is ever playing K9 of dimonds or something like that..

Also its hard to imagine that he is turning something like 77 into a bluff in that spot, or overplaying AQ type hand.


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4 replies
TheRebuz
Joined: 12.10.2008

very ugly spot
worst imo that he can have is smth like KJd/QJd/JTss? imo with those stats i think he is like always 3beting AQ/AK pre and JJ/TT

but mostly i think he has KQ here with his sizing and your reads btw vs players like villain i like to check i this spot on flop cos i dont see value from worst and we can just ch/rai and put villan in hard spot (


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noob3r
Joined: 20.11.2009

Hello,

I think there is still alot of hands to get value from and I dont like checking here. Also there is one more player in the hand who can call whit alot of weaker hands.

I thought about Jx dimond hands but I dont see any point in raising hand like KJ of dimonds. Its true that he has alot of equity, but the hands im going to stack off on that board when he raises, gonna be very strong, and his hand wouldnt look that good when we stack on the flop.

If Im in his shoes I would never raise KdJd in that spot.


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TT+ should be his 3bet range.
I´m not sure if he is 3betting with AJ, likely just calling.
And another question what he is doing JTs, KQ preflop. I would likely not fold, since I´m b/f AK/AQ+worse hands and he likely has sometimes some combo draws

best regards,


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chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007

Hi all,

I agree this is a very scary spot. I call and check/evaluate the turn based on what it is (check/folding a bunch of the time). This sucks if villain takes this line with KJdd and this sizing, but I don't think it happens often enough for us to worry too much about it.


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