Hello.
Villain is 21/14/4.2 and reg-looking (59). No sample really so no reliable stats about raising tendencies. When he raises the turn here, and for this size, do you ever put anything other than flushes in his range when we are unknown to each other? Sets just call, AK just calls (if he doesn't 3b pre). I doubt he ever bluffs this size since he'd be betting so small on river if he got called. If only flushes, we fold right?
Need 26% to call for FH outs, but we have some implied odds since I doubt he folds $40 when pot is $170 at river. How do we take this into account? Just add the $40 so that we need 20.5% equity to call? If so, then calling w implied odds still seems -EV because of rake. Clear fold?
Board: T♥Q♣3♥ J♥
Equity Win Tie
MP2 20.91% 20.91% 0.00% { QdQs }
MP3 79.09% 79.09% 0.00% { AhQh, KhQh, Kh9h, 9h8h, 8h7h }
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Party, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
UTG: $87 (87 bb)
BB: $119.08 (119.1 bb)
MP: $103.41 (103.4 bb)
BTN: $60.88 (60.9 bb)
Hero (SB): $102 (102 bb)
CO: $101.08 (101.1 bb)
Preflop: Hero is SB with Q
Q
3 folds, BTN calls $1, Hero raises to $4, BB calls $3, BTN calls $3
Flop: ($12) T
Q
3 (3 players)
Hero bets $9, BB calls $9, BTN folds
Turn: ($30) J (2 players)
Hero bets $21, BB raises to $60, Hero ???
