Yet another day from hell. In all games bigger than STT I'm around 10 cashes in 360 for a record shattering 2.7% ITM.
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Go steal another one of your dad's cigars and get off his Stars account while you're t it.
So the month completes my 4th losing/BE month in 11. Much of it can definitely blamed on more MTT's, but I don't want to stop playing them. But I might cut them down to just the Hots. Here's to a radically changing March.
1st week of March. HELL. Cannot win a SINGLE hand. How I'm not losing a stone in weight a day is a pure mystery. It's time to think about quitting this bullshit now. Seriously my account is rigged to fucking shit this is mathematically impossible. Mods please delete this blog. Look out in the news I'm going to be performing the suicide live.
you made $16k in Jan. Your hourly for that month was $135. other months can be expected to be less good to even things out.
Anyway, hope you decide against public suicide.
Originally posted by dangermowse
1st week of March. HELL. Cannot win a SINGLE hand. How I'm not losing a stone in weight a day is a pure mystery. It's time to think about quitting this bullshit now. Seriously my account is rigged to fucking shit this is mathematically impossible. Mods please delete this blog. Look out in the news I'm going to be performing the suicide live.
any news?
anyway, found this blog while googling and i got 2 questions:
- you mentioned in your blog a while ago a method to calculate your luck adjusted roi based on the difference between your evbb/100 en your bb/100. mind to share it? to you only use your PFAI evbb/100?
- interested in knowing what your overall EVBB/100 looks like (maybe even for each blindlevel). Im running break-even for over 4000 games on the 45's (thats 60% of my total sample), but my evbb/100 looks very solid. its fuckig up my mind, and seeing you seem to crush the 45's and pbb have a bigger sample to get an better idea of your true roi, i just need some kind of prove that if u make 10-15 EVbb/100 on the 7$/15$/30$ 45's, your actually a double digit winner.
ps some nice tilt posts in there ♦
So it didn't get deleted huh? Damn. Well I've made about $9k since my last post. I FT'd the Hot $55 again a few weeks back, that was the tourney I won in Jan. I got a disappointing 6th but should really have been gone in 9th when I ran JJ into AA and spiked a set. 6th got me $2.7k. What was even more crushing about it was the fact SnG reg czlol was CL and proceeded to take out the 4 remaining players in like 6 consecutive hands soon after my departure. Had I not been forced to chuck my last 3.5bb in with crap I may well have jammied my way to another $6k. Oh well.
Originally posted by solartje
- you mentioned in your blog a while ago a method to calculate your luck adjusted roi based on the difference between your evbb/100 en your bb/100. mind to share it? to you only use your PFAI evbb/100?
- interested in knowing what your overall EVBB/100 looks like (maybe even for each blindlevel). Im running break-even for over 4000 games on the 45's (thats 60% of my total sample), but my evbb/100 looks very solid. its fuckig up my mind, and seeing you seem to crush the 45's and pbb have a bigger sample to get an better idea of your true roi, i just need some kind of prove that if u make 10-15 EVbb/100 on the 7$/15$/30$ 45's, your actually a double digit winner.
I usually just look at AIPF EV yes but you can also compare saw showdown= true and no filter versions. No filter is in the single figures, AIPF is double figure ie 40-60 and showdown is treble figures, 100-200. Like for a short term view saw showdown= true might be miles different to AIPF because you got severely lucky/unlucky when chips went in on the flop or turn, but generally the % difference is close to the same. Breaking it down to bb levels is pointless cause any worthy sample is gonna take years and bb/100 gives the overall picture, it's not like chip EV which gets extremely distorted by bb levels obv.
fwiw I can't win for shit in the $15 45's, ROI of 9% over last 1200 with EV figures looking even. But combined with the $30's my unfiltered bb/100 in 45's is 12 with ROI of 18% and EV is about level. Still not good enough but imo 45's are toughest to get good relative ROI's from, they're the worst SNG to play imo for various reasons and I still only include them for fun, not profit.
Overall this year I'm playing less than ever and motivated less than ever. Pretty sure I would perk up considerably though if rumours are to become reality regarding the possibility of euro pools getting merged together. .FR has reported substantial decline in cash revenue, obviously because their taxing rake system is way too hard to beat so people are taking more to tournament or just effing off elsewhere like they should have done since day 1. Spain has reported a decline in actual players playing whilst takings have increased slightly over 2012. The word is Italy and Spain will combine (there's bound to be people around here that are much more clued up about this topic than me) but from the pokerfuse site articles it's hard to make out if they're talking about combining with the whole pool or just the 2 of them whilst trying to coax France in too. I think the idea is that cause IT and SP's taxing system is similar, they can merge and not have to adjust anything, whereas FR's tax is nearly double the Latino's so they would have to adjust some shit, and therefore are being hesitant.
Meanwhile my very own UK is rumoured to be heading down a similar road to Belgium, whereby new licensing laws come in charging sites x% in tax but we still stay in the player pool. Therefore rake cannot be increased but the rewards system gets decreased so that it works out to us losing around 10%, I read that Belgium is 11%. I would be fine with that, it's gonna be the best tax rate of any country in the world, when you think of France 40% LOLLLLLLLL, IT and SP 20-25% etc. Who knows what the yanks will end up paying. But basically, my point here is, there's absolutely no reason why all countries can't merge pools and each country settle with Stars themselves how much they wanna tax and deduct from player rewards accordingly.
So imagine Fr, IT and SP are back for 2014, games should be fucking wild, they should bring back $60 buy-in across all MTT SnG's for every day not just peak, and you'd be looking at a possible $200k years in MTT SnG alone.
This absolute dream alone is the soul reason we know this will just NOT happen. Because that's way too cushty, too good to be true, so therefore governments will find SOME FUCKING REASON to just jew us all over as per usual, even though it would mean them making tons more money in tax.
F THE SYSTEMMMMMMMM
fun to read this blog, but you have anger management issues ♠_biggrin:
Lets just say I hope you don't HU4ROLLZ when bored 
Mate, the victimisation inflicted on me, me only and no other cunt on pokerstars, is enough to send a buddhist monk to murder!!!!
Absolute fucking hell ensues as I hit 85 bi's down in 17 hrs. Two reasons for it. First one is because I just blew $15,000 on this.
Second reason is the jews trying to force me to take my $4k worth of bonus waiting. WELL I WON'T FUCKING SURRENDER YOU RIGGING CHEATS!!!!!!
Still 15% down on ev in mtt sng's on the year and 20% down in the past 15 months.
That increased to:
And then this beauty 10 hours into SCOOP 1 for the chip lead.
Poker Stars $24.55+$2.45 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t40000/t80000 Blinds + t10000 - 6 players
SB: t4900222 M = 27.22
BB: t6423536 M = 35.69
UTG: t5251792 M = 29.18
Hero (MP): t6743103 M = 37.46
CO: t1712074 M = 9.51
BTN: t5943715 M = 33.02
Pre Flop: (t180000) Hero is MP with K 
K 
1 fold, Hero raises to t160000, 1 fold, BTN raises to t334555, 2 folds, Hero raises to t699999, BTN calls t365444
Flop: (t1579998) J 7 
6 (2 players)
Hero bets t777777, BTN calls t777777
Turn: (t3135552) 7 
(2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets t1160154, Hero raises to t5255327 all in, BTN calls t3295785 all in
River: (t12047430) T (2 players - 2 are all in)
Final Pot: t12047430
Hero shows K K (two pair, Kings and Sevens)
BTN shows J J (a full house, Jacks full of Sevens)
BTN wins t12047430
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Why anyone would wanna MTT full time to endure this torturous hell is beyond me. You're all fucking masochists.
Made it to 1182nd from 17k people today in SCOOP-3-L. Was a crazy action hour game whereby average #of BB's after rebuy hour is like 1000 or more. I had 3.5k BB's or so after this beauty.
Poker Stars $5.00+$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t10/t20 Blinds - 6 players
MP: t29214 1460.70 BBs
CO: t25743 1287.15 BBs
BTN: t23032 1151.60 BBs
Hero (SB): t41308 2065.40 BBs
BB: t2870 143.50 BBs
Pre Flop: (t30) Hero is SB with 3 A
1 fold, MP raises to t60, CO calls t60, 1 fold, Hero calls t50, BB calls t40
Flop: (t240) 3 2 3 (4 players)
Hero bets t120, BB folds, MP folds, CO calls t120
Turn: (t480) 7 (2 players)
Hero bets t325, CO raises to t680, Hero calls t355
River: (t1840) 3 (2 players)
Hero bets t6000, CO raises to t24883 all in, Hero calls t18883
Final Pot: t51606
CO shows 7 7 (a full house, Sevens full of Threes)
Hero shows 3 A (four of a kind, Threes)
Hero wins t51606
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I maintained a shit load right up until a point where I made a pretty terrible river call for half my stack but was still left with 65bb's, such is the beauty of deep stack poker. Dwindled a little bit on a table full of 55/45 morons including firefaux who I looked up to find him +$230k and 50% ROI in reg speed MTT's. Actually he's more 100% PFR in LP, which makes my rejam with 77 prefectly ok, but apparently these house bots have KK every single hand. gg!!!!!!!!!
I then entered SCOOP-5-L which was a turbo rebuy of the normal variety and eventually got cunted by this bullshit.
Poker Stars $10+$1 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t800/t1600 Blinds + t200 - 9 players -
BB: t22109 M = 5.26
UTG: t41722 M = 9.93
UTG+1: t7471 M = 1.78
UTG+2: t24612 M = 5.86
MP1: t18791 M = 4.47
MP2: t64417 M = 15.34
CO: t26950 M = 6.42
BTN: t59332 M = 14.13
Hero (SB): t61934 M = 14.75
Pre Flop: (t4200) Hero is SB with Q A
5 folds, CO raises to t3200, 1 fold, Hero raises to t61734 all in, BB calls t20309 all in, 1 fold
Flop: (t48818) 5 4 5 (2 players - 2 are all in)
Turn: (t48818) J (2 players - 2 are all in)
River: (t48818) J (2 players - 2 are all in)
Final Pot: t48818
BB shows A J (a full house, Jacks full of Fives)
Hero shows Q A (two pair, Jacks and Fives)
BB wins t48818...
and then....
Poker Stars $10+$1 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t1250/t2500 Blinds + t325 - 9 players
UTG+2: t75186 M = 11.26
MP1: t63139 M = 9.46
MP2: t17580 M = 2.63
CO: t19688 M = 2.95
BTN: t36019 M = 5.40
SB: t66017 M = 9.89
BB: t79583 M = 11.92
UTG: t22978 M = 3.44
Hero (UTG+1): t24056 M = 3.60
Pre Flop: (t6675) Hero is UTG+1 with Q A
1 fold, Hero raises to t23731 all in, 5 folds, SB calls t22481, 1 fold
Flop: (t52887) Q T 9 (2 players - 1 is all in)
Turn: (t52887) 8 (2 players - 1 is all in)
River: (t52887) Q (2 players - 1 is all in)
Final Pot: t52887
SB shows J A (a straight, Eight to Queen)
Hero shows Q A (three of a kind, Queens)
SB wins t52887
Nothing much new to report, just the same old shit day after day after day after day. Cannot win a hand. Was upto 130abis down or so, am now on 100bis and am not even bloew EV at all. The reason for that is I've never got the best hand- quite simply. 100% of any Ace at all that I have to get in has a bigger Ace waiting, even if guy calling is making a marginalcall and my shove was marginal, it's ONE KICKER high every single hand resulting in zero chops ever except for when on the 2% rare occasion it's me who has the bigger kicker. Every single PP obv has the PP one higher waiting, I get no shoves through, or like one in 12 or something. Not a single BVB rig up is with worse than top 12% in his hand, not one.
Most positive thing that's happened was I FT'd the Hotter $55 Sunday, the 3rd Hot $55 FT of the year, and got fucked in 9th WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!! Started as the table shorty anyway, watched the mandatory doubling of about 90 shorty all ins in a row before being forced to go with QTo 4bb UTG, get 7 folds, one more to go, sweat sweat sweat, CALL. OH HAI KK, what else could BB possibly have?!?!?!
Well that woudn't have been so gigantically tilting to the point of murder with $24k sitting up top (my 9th was $1200) had the precise same thing not happend as what did in my last Hot 55 Ft finish of 6th, whereby an elimination PER HAND occured thereafter, with 3 left doing a deal like 4 minutes after my departure.
But not only that, the BIGGEST downer about it was the fact I lost AIPF with 12 left for the chip lead with 88 vs A7o.
If you're anybody but me, ie T 54 97s, you FT a $2k SCOOP, win a 3 way allin with 4bbs binking quads with 22 where the 85% exit would've seen a $15k pay day, then subsequently win 75 flips in a row to TID for $177k. Gratz to him he's a funny guy and dersves it despite being extremely spewy. mbrfn
A fairly simple descriptive update.
That is all. 2013 is so far a year of pure shit and not the tiniest sign of constant 3/100 cash streaks in 18m stopping, let alone 180's, is showing at all. I'm 90% of the time nothing but pig sick miserable, despite SOMEHOW managing to up the discipline on working out and eating. Really no idea how I'm managing that.
Have you ever thought of doing something for a living that you enjoy doing? Even if it is not as lucrative, it might be more rewarding in the long run. (happiness EV)
wtf where's the fucking pic gone? ? jesus christ do I run bad at simply EVVVVVVVERYTHING IN LIFE??????????????
Have you seen the state of the job world in the UK???