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NL2 FR Set play

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Cooleyman
Joined: 01.03.2011

PartyGaming - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 7 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

UTG: $2.28
UTG+1: $2.29
MP: $1.66
CO: $4.10
BTN: $2.18
SB: $2.01
Hero (BB): $2.09 23/3/2/97

SB posts SB $0.01, Hero posts BB $0.02

Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero has 7♣ 7♠

fold, fold, MP calls $0.02, fold, fold, SB calls $0.01, Hero raises to $0.14, MP calls $0.12, fold

Flop: ($0.30, 2 players) J♦ 7♥ 3♣
Hero bets $0.14, MP calls $0.14

Turn: ($0.58, 2 players) T♠
Hero bets $0.28, MP raises to $0.56, Hero calls $0.28

River: ($1.70, 2 players) 6♠
Hero checks, MP bets $0.82 and is all-in, Hero calls $0.82

There's a potential str on the Turn and villain has a total AF of 2. Should we continue or give up this strong hand on the Turn?
If we continue, I figure we are committed on the turn and so maybe a Turn shove is the better play. What do you think?


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Hi

Preflop: I'm not going to say that this iso-raise is good or bad, but in general, small PPs are less playable and thus checking is going to be a good option. By default, I would raise 88+. Hands like 22-77 or 56s are dependent on the villain.
-If villain limp/folds a lot or folds to Flop cbets, then raising is better
-If villain loves calling multiple streets, then checking is better

Turn: Folding a set is out of the question. It's a question of whether shoving or calling is better. Don't forget you are still ahead of JT.

http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: Jd7h3cTs
Equity Win Tie
MP2 47.80% 47.80% 0.00% { 7s7c }
MP3 52.20% 52.20% 0.00% { TT, 33, JTs, 98s, JTo, 98o }

This assumes that villain has close to 0 bluffs. I think villain rarely bluffraises here, but it's still def going to be a possibility. With almost 50% equity here, folding would be extremely bad.

So question is whether we should push for protection/playability reasons, or just call since we cannot raise for value. Do remember that there's already some dead money in the pot.

I honestly think either option is fine. I'm folding on an 8/9 if I do call turn. But given that the pot is already so huge and you are clearly committed, shoving is slightly better.


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Cooleyman
Joined: 01.03.2011

Thanks, sound advice as ever.


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

You're welcome.

Btw ur preflop raise size looks extremely huge as well. I recommend making it 3-4 bb + 1bb per limper by default. Making it 5bb is a little too large.

Thanks


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