[Closed] Guess The Hand & Win Cash! - Week 4

T 9

In mp range

Flop represent hero or monster or monsterdraw, but think at this drawy board. He most of the time will just c-bet.

Turn he as easy enough equity to barrel

River hitting nuts easy

I'd say he hold 10 9s clubs

lets start look at postflop play. If we look at the flop its quite drawheavy. so a TP or set would have to be protected with a bet, and not a checkraise. Any flush i dont see why villain should checkraise since it would make no sense because he's not interested in an AI at flop, and would most likely play it as a semibluff bet with it instead of checkraise.
However if he has 109 clubs it would make perfect sense since he's already ok with the AI in since he has enough outs.
at turn he fires a 2nd barrel. and at river he completes his nut draw and go AI for value. I don't see how hero can be bluffing here, when the Q hits the board when the pot is already that big.

reason for 109 clubs too is that preflop hero raises from utg. and it would be too weak raising lower suited connectors here even though its sh.

meh, I see some other guy beat me to it while i was writing my long analyse -.-

A Ax

Q 8

Assuming hero is an aggressive REG with big postflop edge over his opponents, opening with this hand from utg+1 is plausible.On flop hero hits heavy,with essentially 14 outs to improve to the nuts (9 if villain has 9 T in which case hero is already ahead).Villian is most likely representing a top pair with a good kicker ( AJ most likely,maybe even KJ) when he calls heros raise on flop. Turn bricks and hero is semibluffing over half the pot. On river hero hits pretty good card because Q disguises his strength and villain will call him with worse (top pair top kicker) assuming hero missed his draw.All sets would shove on flop over heros raise for protection/value,so hero evaluates and decides to go allin for value because only 9 T (and highly unlikely qj) beats him and many worse hands will call.

A:cK:c
on c/r is more value and if he win now its also good
on turn he semi bluf...
on R his range is very strong and i thing is eazy push because all FD miss after on C/r flop his range is 44, JJ, 88, T9 and valin will have problems to call with Jx or Qx.... or QJ....

A :club:Q :club

Looking at the postflop action I don't think hero had a made hand on the flop.

flop: I do not usually check raise, only when I'm protecting blinds, but I am guessing that hero had to have a good draw, if he hit the flop he should have cbet, I would have cbet with any two there if villain isn't a fish. SO what kind of draws are we talking about K :club:Q :club:, A :club:Q :club:, 9♣T :club:. 9Ts is a very unlikely raise from mp I think. so I am going to say that hero had A :club:Q :club.

turn: On the turn he bet a bit more than half pot to get the money in early if he hits his flush

river: Hero is thinking that the pot being that big he can still get payed off by AJ, or KJ; which are more combinations than 44, 88 some other hands in villains range. and if he checks he might have to fold when villain raises with TT or 99 which might also be in villains range.

I don't really like this play everything seems so wierd but I think AQ of clubs is the most logical, but maybe I'm looking at it the wrong way...

I'll post my thought process later, but hero has a set imo. JJ

I think 10:club:9♣ check/raise flop with the oesd and fd. barrel the turn given the equity and shove river for value when we hit the nuts!

Imo for value- hero has 44.

We shouldn't be blindly cbetting especially oop on a board that hits CO's flatting range pre, and also shouldn't just check give up always when we check either.

So having 44 in our flop checking range for balance is good since we let villain bet his Jx and strong draws and maybe even 8x, getting a bet from those hands which helps us get stacks in as SPR makes it difficult to bet/bet/shove for value anyway.

I think it's less likely to be JJ as that hand is better as a check call or cbet imo since we are getting way too many folds with a checkraise- but vs button's halfpot bet checkraising with JJ is also plausible as he reps a ton of mediocre value heavy hands that perhaps is reluctant to fold.

Anyway I stick with the most likely hand imo which is 44 (also important is that we are on utg+1, and not utg so shouldn't fold it pre).

88, possibly with one club.

Hero X/R's knowing that this line will look bluffy, and Villain is likely to call with any Jx that may be in his range. River shove is normal since all flush draws missed, and a isn't a bad card since Villain can have A♣Q♣ fairly often.

QcQd

Those are good hand to raise preflop

The flop shows all lower cards than his and if the opponent got a pair on the flop the "hero" is still in the lead

The turn has no value for the hero but in that case he can still get some value bet so the opponent think he has straight/flush draw

On the river "hero" got a set and in that case the opponent can only think he hited a straight or a higher pair than him and thats why he shoves all in

I Think that Hero's holding JsJh cause he raised pre from UTG ,reraise on flop was protection from a flush draw ,on turn he bet 2nd barell to protect his hand and on river he was pot commited so only hand he coulnd't beat 9T or pocket Queens whichs is less possible cause it would all went allin on flop .

He got 9 10

He is bluffing on his draws and hits the straight. While CO is just sitting there calling with his pocked 4's.

i think a set of JJ

9T clubs. Check/raise flop to build a pot with his combo draw and to gain value from villains air range. Barrel turn, building fold equity if river misses as well as for setting up a stack if draw hits. Hits nuts on river, shoves for value.
OOP AJ and AQ clubs both have good showdown value and are not getting called by worse, I believe they are check/calling the river for a decent price to gain value from busted draws.

Other possible hands here are JJ, 44, 88... that queen might be something of a scare card as villain will hold 9T a lot of the time, I still think JJ/88 are always shoving ... maybe hero also has some busted flush draws. If only we had reads

88

On this board we're very pretty often c/f so we can strengthen our checking range by c/r some huge draws and sets. We also greatly decrease the stack/pot ration so we can get our stacks in by the river.

Start PF: 22+, A2s+, K9s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T8s+, 97s+, 87s, 76s, 65s, ATo+, KTo+, QJo

Flop:
Good board to have x/r ranges on cause it connects pretty well with oppo. We pbb bet JJ. X/r sets and some % of KK+, maybe some combodraw. Bluffs: Overcards/bdfd.

Turn:
Bad card to barrel, most people are weighted towards value. We could still have some combodraw

River:
Hits our bluffingrange, can't imagine us having much air unless we're really good ;p hmmm. I'm going with 44 cause it simple has more combos than 9Ts. Think we're not x/ring 9Ts exept for 9Tcc. KK+ becomes too thin. And also because people are more likely to take 88 apparently ♦ So my odds of shipping the $50 increase when I'm going with 44

So 44

22

ch/rai flop because he thought villain will bet wide OTF, since it looks like he's giving up, everyone knows ch/rai as PFA is generally strong so villain won't play back too much.

bink T feel like an absolute hero and barrel it off.

Q :club:,Q