Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($139)
BB ($54.96)
UTG ($137)
UTG+1 ($174)
CO ($101)
Hero ($108)
Dealt to Hero Q♣ Q♥
UTG raises to $3, UTG+1 calls $3, fold, Hero raises to $12, fold, fold, UTG calls $9, UTG+1 calls $9
FLOP ($37.50) 5♠ 4♦ 2♠
UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $18, UTG folds, UTG+1 raises to $162 (AI), Hero calls $78.08 (AI)
TURN ($229) 5♠ 4♦ 2♠ 9♥
RIVER ($229) 5♠ 4♦ 2♠ 9♥ 2♣
Hero shows Q♣ Q♥
(Pre 82%, Flop 10.8%, Turn 4.5%)
UTG+1 shows 2♦ 2♥
(Pre 18%, Flop 89.2%, Turn 95.5%)
UTG+1 wins $226
I know this is like standart-ish spot but i was wondering wether i could check/shove these spots vs 2 on low flops or is it better to just bet/call. Is bet/fold rly out of the question? I know depends on dynamic,etc but you don't rly get so many of these spots. both villains are regs. EP is tighter 17/12. MP 19/16 150 hands each so not too much history.
Just to equilate i need 34% in this exact spot and even given such range:
Equity Win Tie
MP2 32.32% 31.16% 1.15% QhQc
MP3 67.68% 66.53% 1.15% 55-22, AsQs, AsJs, AsTs, As6s, As4s, As3s
it's really slightly -ev.
PS - don't say betting slightly bigger flop is better cause then you will have better odds
That's not how it works.