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Nl200 JJ,

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axelphoney
Joined: 03.10.2009

IPoker, $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (CO): $365.63 (182.8 bb)
BTN: $429.50 (214.8 bb)
SB: $123.65 (61.8 bb)
BB: $72.50 (36.3 bb)
UTG: $205 (102.5 bb)
MP: $369.10 (184.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with J J
2 folds, Hero raises to $6, BTN calls $6, SB calls $5, BB folds

Flop: ($20) 4 2 9 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $14, BTN calls $14, SB folds

Turn: ($48) 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $33.60, BTN calls $33.60

River: ($115.20) 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $80.64, BTN raises to $224, Hero??

(SB: fish 23/5)

Villain: 29/23
53/32(no sample) fold tocbet%
46/37/28 ag%
46 WWSF
24 WTS
(4.6k hands)

Reads/dynamics: quite aggressive in general and perceives me as a aggressive too. has flated premiums pre w/ me left to act a couple of times indicating that he expects to me to go crazy w/ squeezes. assumption is that same goes for postflop (i.e he thinks I will barrel loosely).

I would bet Q9/K9+ for value otr, and given dynamics, expect to be herocalled a fair amount. I don't think he raises 4x for value, which leaves him wih 7 value combos that he can raise here

How wide you call it off here?


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3 replies
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

well 9X is better for bluff catching here than JJ in my opinion. You also have J:h which reduces likelihood of him having a busted draw. Feels like a fold to me


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lnternet
Joined: 19.06.2012

Turn is a clear check imo.

He will bet the turn here with an incredibly high frequency and you can get in a very nice check raise. If he checks back turn he likely has a hand like 55-88 which you hardly miss value from, as they tend to call turn and fold river, so put in one bet, which you still get on the river after turn check-check often.

River bet is fine.

When he raises he reps A5hh in addition to the sets. He would certainly play all sets this way, not raising flop or turn. For bluffs, very hard to know how often he bluffs here, but I think it's a fair assumption to say he doesn't bluff enough here, and then it's good for you to fold a bit too often, surely including JJ.


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Originally posted by mbml
well 9X is better for bluff catching here than JJ in my opinion. You also have J:h which reduces likelihood of him having a busted draw. Feels like a fold to me

+1


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