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nl100 bad board with AA deep

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JohnyC1337
Joined: 27.05.2011

ZOOM GAME!!!

MP: 32/16, regfish

BTN: 23/19, BTNvsMP 11% cold call, stab IP in 3BP 24%, wtsd 26, w$sd 54, wwsf 46

I know I am on the top of my range and I have only 3 better combos of jacks full but I just donk know if normal not overaggro reg is capable of bluffing this 200BB deep. Any ideas?

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $223.40 (223.4 bb)
Hero (SB): $204.45 (204.5 bb)
BB: $115.11 (115.1 bb)
UTG: $109.53 (109.5 bb)
MP: $191.58 (191.6 bb)
CO: $75 (75 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A A
UTG folds, MP raises to $2.50, CO folds, BTN calls $2.50, Hero raises to $12.50, 2 folds, BTN calls $10

Flop: ($28.50) 8 T J (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $18, Hero calls $18

Turn: ($64.50) 3 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $37, Hero calls $37

River: ($138.50) 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $155.90 and is all-in, Hero folds

Results:

Spoiler

$138.50 pot ($2.80 rake)
Final Board: 8 T J 3 8
BTN mucked and won $135.70 ($68.20 net)
Hero mucked A A and lost (-$67.50 net)


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3 replies
maritsula
Joined: 19.12.2011

If I was against one opponent OOP, especially vs MP I would fold as he reps TT/JJ quite well.

The big problem with this hand is that we dont know if TT/JJ is in his flatting range BTN vs MP preflop

Given that MP is regfish +190bb and that his 3b is 11% in that spot I would expect him to 3b TT,JJ preflop

Flop + turn is ok, But since we concluded that JJ/TT is most likely not in his BTN range preflop betting flop, turn and xc river should be better

OTR, 8s is one of the best cards for us besides hearts/A as now his value range is minimized due to blocking effects.

Since he is a reg I dont think he will be shoving anything less than a FH for value. straights + flushes would either check or bet 1/3

However, making the assumption that JJ/TT is not in his flatting range preflop is a big assumption to make. Also, its rare to see regs bluffing like that and we have the Ah which reduces his busted FD combos.

However, since this is a very good spot for him to 3brl bluff us 200bb deep and given that its less likely for him to have the hands he is representing I think would make the call if I had all the info you had.

How would you play JJ in this hand?


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JohnyC1337
Joined: 27.05.2011

11% is his cold call BTNvsMP not 3bet but I would suggest that he would cold call more vs regfish and also 3bet hight BW cards, JJ+ for value everytime. I should probabely play JJ c/calldown because this board hits cold caller better than me but dunno if I would:/ In perspective I think this is a call and I folded only because I thought that his range contains nearly 0% bluff which may be totaly wrong assumption.


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Easy snap here
1. Top of your range
2. Flush blocker
3. Flush completed which means he'll try to rep it
4. Many busted broadway straight draws.

Folding is way too weak.


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