5NL QQ faces 3 barrels

Hey ChangNoi77,

If opponent is opening 18% and folding to 3bets 33% over a decent sample then the EV of 3betting for value is likely higher than the EV of flatting, so 3bet.

Flop call is fine.

Turn call is fine, although difficult to see many bluffs. Can be worse overpairs from time to time.

River is close. The lower the highest card on the board the more likely we should be to call due to presence of worse overpairs. Opponent can still have KK/AA and all sets though. Rarely any bluffs. We need to be good only 26% of the time.

http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: 6c9h3s
Equity Win Tie
MP2 38.49% 38.49% 0.00% { QhQc }
MP3 61.51% 61.51% 0.00% { KK+, JJ-99, 66, 33 }

Might be a marginal call. What do you think of UTG+1's 3barrel range?

After this hand villain is 2/2 for river cbet. His WTSD is 17% and W$SD 43%.

Flop and turn c bets are 70% and 50%

Nothing indicates that he's likely to get out of line.

I notice you didn't add the other combo off QQ for a split, that probably makes it a call. Surprising given we only beat JJ and TT. I should pay more attention to calling all 3 streets in future given semi decent odds on the river

Originally posted by ChangNoi77
After this hand villain is 2/2 for river cbet. His WTSD is 17% and W$SD 43%.

Flop and turn c bets are 70% and 50%

Nothing indicates that he's likely to get out of line.

I notice you didn't add the other combo off QQ for a split, that probably makes it a call. Surprising given we only beat JJ and TT. I should pay more attention to calling all 3 streets in future given semi decent odds on the river

Yeah I guess I missed the other combo of QQ. However it's call anyway given the calculation. The other combo of QQ shouldn't affect things that much.