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DONE!!! / NL25 finishing blow together with Thor - help me deliver it!

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Erniastukas
Joined: 14.03.2011

Will be a long post. And I'll load my guns - I'll be really expecting black ops breaking my windows soon after this post :]

Good news first: story seems to continue. HOW THE HELL I AM STRUGGLING WITH MICROLIMITS, but keep winning tournaments??? Took down "PS depositors 10k" on Everest for nice $1000 profit on Sunday. For the sake of this challenge I'll keep the aside. For a while.

Thought a lot about the situation. I really think I play decent poker (MTT results prove that), why the hell I'm break-even at best at cash, huh? Something is just not right here.

So I did what I should have done in the very beginning. My bankroll is spread across several sites, I really was kind of "rakeback hunter". WAS, until now. I checked the rake, taken by sites I play at. Here's the shocking truth I found out: seems I was giving away all my profit for the sites all this time!!!

Why the hell should I play at Pokerstars - they never give any reload bonuses (and that stellar rewards promo seems so unprofitable), when other sites give, let's say 30% rakeback? Well, seems Pokerstars is THE ONLY "micro-player friendly" site!

Rake taken at NL5 (from rake analysis in PS forums):
Pokerstars - 8.4bb/100
iPoker - 19.7bb/100 (!)
PKR - 29.9bb/100 (!!!!!)

If we opt for a realistic long-term profit of 10bb/100, which you can have at Stars, then one has to make 18.4/100 (10 for profit, 8.4 for rake). That would make you slightly loosing at iPoker (at -1.3bb/100) and a complete looser at PKR!

The situation is also that bad at NL10 and only from NL25-NL50 rake taken by sites starts to be quite similar. I guess because players get better and start noticing that, so in that sense you CAN say, that all the other sites, exept Stars ARE rigged. So fair play, huh?

I'm so happy I made this discovery and I'm really interested why this obvious "little thing" isn't talked LOUD for the beginners, even before the whole strategy thing.

That's all, continuing my challenge only on Stars.

Oh, btw, my not-so-little pokerface Thor ;)


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Erniastukas
Joined: 14.03.2011

Still no black-ops :] Did I got something wrong in my last post?


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Erniastukas
Joined: 14.03.2011

Results post updated. Any comments on my thoughts about rake?


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nmilan84
Joined: 21.07.2010

Originally posted by Erniastukas
Results post updated. Any comments on my thoughts about rake?

As an nl10 player on both Stars and PKR, and being aware of the rake and rakeback, I can tell You that the player pool on PKR already should boost Your bb/100 by 10-15bb (it's a fish tank there), having a 30% rakeback also deducts the rake taken from u, but for a multitabling and hud using player it can be slow and annoying! Stars have lower rake, but they also compensate with less RB from FPPs and stellars for micro players, but with good table and opponent selection You can get larger bb/100 winrate. As for iPoker I played there long time ago so cant compare it....
My conclusion is that while You play on micros, play on many platforms, earn from FDB and RB, once You get hang of the game choose a platform that suits You best and transfer entire roll there...

GL @ the tables


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Erniastukas
Joined: 14.03.2011

OK. New spark in the long-term thought process. Seems poker is a game, where you build up your profits by quite long and tedious efforts. Then you can very easily ruin them with just a few stupid moves. Like this:

I find this happening way too often for me, even at NL5. It's not that I can't exploit opponents, have way-of-the-limits stats or anything like this. I guess it's those way too costly mistakes that keep me just slightly winning.

We'll try this way - I'll stick to the following discipline for a couple of weeks (maybe longer if works):
A) I keep playing till I win 1 full BI. As soon as I do that - I quit the session (as my session is usually ~1000 hands, that would give a nice 10bb/100 rate). If I win that BI sooner - that's fine, I'll quit earlier. If not - that's also fine, I'll keep grinding (2k, 3k - whatever it takes).
B) If I dip below the zero, that's fine for some range of hands, but if I lose 1 full BI - my new target becomes to quit at zero line.
C) If I lose more than 2 BI - I quit immediately.

I hope this simple system will have following benefits:

  • I will play my A game from the very beginning of the session - trying to reach that 1BI+ as early as normally possible (that means not stupid moves and even more important - NO unjustified calling e.g. wasting what's already won).
  • I've read and heard several times, that it's really important to quit when you're winning (as much as it doesn't make sense as poker is a long-term game). It should have some kind of psychological effect, the feeling of "running good".
  • If I'm only able to maintain zero line - that's also at least not "running bad".
  • If I keep losing in the session - quitting might be a good option, as I've noticed myself starting to play very tilty after some major loses - trying to win it back ASAP.

Your comments are welcome on this. I'll keep the statistics of this system in the following post.


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Erniastukas
Joined: 14.03.2011

This post will be updated according to the results of the system outlined above.

Win 1BI (or more) and quit: 4
Lost 1BI, climbed back at 0 and quit: 0
Lost 2BI (or more) and quit: 1
Lost more than 2BI and NOT quit (=MEGAFAIL to keep with the system): 0


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Erniastukas
Joined: 14.03.2011

Post #2 updated with results.

Right now I feel the following results with my new session system: first, it seems it works. I think I maximize my play when playing A game (trying to win in every good spot to reach that 1BI ASAP, although being really careful with wasting chips by unreasonable calling or bluffing). At the same - I minimize my B gametime when playing bad, trying to desperately win back the losses.

There is also a side effect - I tend to play less, as sitting down to the sessions became a commitment to try to win and do my best. I guess I mean less fun by that. But maybe that supposed easiness can also be one of the reasons for sticking at break-even.

Looking forward for your insights and more sessions. =more data for future decisions, I guess :]


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dooleslovs
Joined: 17.02.2011

Sorry to say but this system is bullshit. Its very results orentated and you will not improve using it. You should try to play in most ev manier and not in carefull or nitty. Bluffcaching and bluffing is big part of the game. And if they sometimes have it or call with bottom pair does not mean you should avoid it. Post some hands where you bluff cach or bluff and find out if that was mistake. Removing bluffing and bluffcaching from your game and playing by your system will drasticly slow your progress imo.


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Originally posted by Erniastukas

Related thoughts:

1) The idea about possibility to maintain that level red line obsessed me. It seems it really IS the key to beating micros. I find quite easy to have sessions with such graphs quite easy at NL10 (still mystery why it's so difficult at NL25 for me, player pool isn't that different there).

2) When I concentrate really hard on things that help me maintain that holy red line flat - I seem to run good with my blue one automatically. Seems postflop winnings come as a bonus for not making small, but stupid things preflop (and on the flop) :]

Hey there!

I agree with you 100%, that you have to be smart and outplay your
opponents, if you want to be successful at NL SH. For most part
I have had the same pain as you.

I was good at SHD, but totally sucked at my red line.
Now my style has changed a bit and there might some changes
be spotted in mt blog.

You might know this, but here are some false myths about red line:
1. To win a lots of non-SHD you have to cbet a lot;
2. To improve red line you should 3-bar a lot;
3. Those players, who have very high red line = maniacs/bluffers;
4. Etc.

PS. Yes, actually I'm sometimes a maniac, but it works for me.
PPS. My blog - Tilter's blog Look for spoilers.
PPS. If you are with the same idea, we might sweat some time.

GL, I'll check it here from time to time. :f_p:


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Originally posted by Erniastukas
As I managed to get decent reads on a lot of opponents in HUD - I noticed that it's almost only TAGs there - and money comes not from them. I think a game between TAGs is only re-balancing of money - in the end everybody ends up with the same amount of money minus rake :]

No. No! You can win from TAGs, they don't adjust or do it wrong.
Believe me. ;)


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Erniastukas
Joined: 14.03.2011

dooleslovs, I'm not saying that I avoid all the "smart play" completely or not trying to play at my max EV, I'm just trying to concentrate more on selecting right opponents for those moves. C-betting AK against 70/50 fish when he checks on 75T flop isn't a good idea, is it?

I feel I'm too used to make some "default" moves, have some "bad habits". I ignore the opponents, ignore the texture of the board, action before - I simply want that pot so bad NOW. I tend to overplay my mediocre holdings. I just feel that this "bullshit system" simply makes me think twice before clicking a button :]

Following it, as I said - I minimize my "B game time" and maximize my "A game time". Why should I play at all when I feel I'm not playing optimally? I see it as a short-term solution just to get me more disciplined in game and correct some bad habits.

Anyway, the results will speak for themselves ;)

Anger86, I like the idea of sweat session, let's get back to this question on March (I'll be out skiing mainly all the remaining Feb).


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Erniastukas
Joined: 14.03.2011

Ahhh, just to keep my promise to grow together with Thor :]


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Erniastukas
Joined: 14.03.2011

Looks like poker has much more to do with your mental state while playing than I thought. It always looks like "well, I'm playing my regular game" while in reality you most often even don't notice how bad you're doing.

After three weeks off the tables in alpine air everything look in their place. Got back to NL25 speed tables and had an fantastic week with $134 profit while playing really not that much.

Will try to keep the good job up :]


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Erniastukas
Joined: 14.03.2011

Ahhhh, I love those Saturday nights when I'm sober :]


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FFRRAANNKKIIEE
Joined: 30.12.2010

hi Erniastukas,

Didn't notice your blog until now,
always nice to follow cash game player in his progress through the stakes.

Best of luck sir,
Don't forget to keep us updated :)

Greets,
Fran


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Erniastukas
Joined: 14.03.2011

Thanks for the support!

This "cash game thing" really gets more and more interesting:

  • On days like yesterday everything seems to go so easy - just sitting and doing the right thing produces amazing results - so you make an assumption that the only thing you need is to play more.
  • But much more often it's not that fluent - things simply "don't work" in the way they're supposed to work. It drives you mad, you start looking for causes (when maybe it's simply variance), making adjustments in play (when none is required), then everything goes even worse, etc.
  • Overall - I find it a real long-term exercise of mental strength, determination, deduction of situation and strategy (long-terrm, again). Guess that's what makes it interesting - personally I feel much more motivated and disciplined when I have that "target in sights" compared to "just playin".

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Erniastukas
Joined: 14.03.2011

So, today I have two news. Yah, you guessed it - the good and the bad one.

First, the bad one.
I'm -$110 down this week. But thats not so bad I guess, since I experimented a lot with my play and had really AWESOMELY bad session yesterday:

Da hell with it, does it happen often for you???

Then comes the good one.
I think you also noticed the +red line. As much as I fail constantly in Zoom games (for some time I seem to run good, then I'm BAAAMMM, way down), I have to admit I also like it very much. The pace, the constant occupation of mind with decisions, the rocket-fast "points/status counter" (hell, I'm approaching Goldstar again!), the non-present necessity to table-select... Nahhh, it's really my style of game. So I decided to find a strategy that works in this type of game (and I believe if I'll do it - it will be only easier in regular tables at NL25, since I find player pool in Zoom quite tough, compared to regular tables).

The purpose is clear - winning game in NL25 ZOOM. My current game doesn't work there, so (logical) I have to adapt it. I tried playing overly tight - it failed. Overly loose - it failed. Tried various techniques, analysed results, etc etc etc... And then suddenly, with no apparent reason some kind of switch flipped inside my head.

AGGRESSION was the answer. Controlled, systemic, but HUGE aggression. It's either I've misinterpreted that concept all my time in poker or it's THAT big amount of it is needed in this format, but I don't care for now (I'll see in future when I'll try applying it in other games).

  • My VPIP/PFR went from 17/14 to 24/22
  • My 3bet went from ~5% to 13%
  • My Agg% went from 30% to 55%
  • And I really started avoiding being OOP postflop

That's all! Red line is at least 0 all the time, most often it alone is winning. Combine it with good showdowns and I really have the feeling of "crushing" for the first time in poker! I've heard it tens of times - "Keep the initiative", but for the first time I really FEEL what it is to dominate the table. Now I think I played two passive for NL25, even NL10 - but I really didn't imagined how REAL AGGRESSION has to look. Running -4BI'ns below EV and still in profit??? WOW, didn't even dare to imagine that, EVER!

I just pray that it won't be a short-term success - but I just feel it won't this time. It connects too much with everything I've learned so far, it's like pieces of the puzzle coming together now. We'll see next week, I guess.

As always - your comments on my situation are highly appreciated!

Ahhh, and that's for after aggression :]
IN for the kill - Vevo lounge edit


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Erniastukas
Joined: 14.03.2011

Now this is how fulfilling of the dream looks like!

And you know what? After all the sweat I've put in, I really think I deserve it!!!


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Erniastukas
Joined: 14.03.2011

I always had a nagging question: ,,What the hell those Supernovas are doing at NL10 Zoom???". Now I think I have an answer - with win rates like this it should be more profitable to grind here then at NL400, I guess :]


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Erniastukas
Joined: 14.03.2011

OK. Seems I might just got over-exited and over-adjusted. Combine it with real bad luck (-7 BIns below EV) and some real out-of-this-world coolers (nut flush draw running into straight flush, wtf :] ???) - I've pissed away almost all my recent winnings.

Well, $47 are left, that's good. And big and great feeling about finally knowing what I have to do this week.


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