Overpair on a paired flop

Hi,

i would seriously consider calling this river, J isnt exactly in his range, he could have many broadways given his MP open and low fold to 3bet and then float the flop

while the A turn hits his range, the pot odds offered are around 30% and i think we are good here more than 35% of the time considering his wide range of missed broadways, missed FD and some hands going for thin value like TT 99.

Thanks
Cutegoldfish

Originally posted by cutegoldfish
Hi,

i would seriously consider calling this river, J isnt exactly in his range, he could have many broadways given his MP open and low fold to 3bet and then float the flop

while the A turn hits his range, the pot odds offered are around 30% and i think we are good here more than 35% of the time considering his wide range of missed broadways, missed FD and some hands going for thin value like TT 99.

Thanks
Cutegoldfish

What worse calls villain if he bets 99/TT almost pot river?

Hi,

What do you mean Eskavus? Could you rephrase?

River I think he's betting a lot of busted flush draws, maybe some middle pairs.

Thanks
Xavierfok

Originally posted by cutegoldfish
missed FD and some hands going for thin value like TT 99

Which worse hands do villains expect to get called if he pots river for thin value with 99/TT type of hands? Seems way too optimistic in my perspective without dynamics.

Anyway If we were holding a K would you still bluffcatch busted draws? Thank you in advance

Hi,

Firstly he is not betting hands like 99 TT so often, I'm guessing less than 25% of the time, hoping for nothing to call for a split.

More often we are going to see busted draws something like 30-40% of the time and then another 40-50% of the time we see Ax.

Given these numbers we still must call KK.

I don't think the K makes too much of a difference, I'll still call.

Thanks
Xavierfok