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zoom25 bad flop for AA

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Omahasaurus
Joined: 04.01.2012

villain is 31/17/17%3bet over 75hands, 50%flop agg

flop smashes his range, need only 25% but i dont think i have it here?

[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Omaha Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $33.79 (135.2 bb)
BB: $24.01 (96 bb)
UTG: $29.06 (116.2 bb)
Hero (MP): $91.08 (364.3 bb)
CO: $42.30 (169.2 bb)
BTN: $25.47 (101.9 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A♣ 3♣ A♦ 8♥
UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.85, CO folds, BTN raises to $2.50, SB folds, BB calls $2.25, Hero raises to $10.10, BTN calls $7.60, BB calls $7.60

Flop: ($30.40) K♠ 9♠ T♦ (3 players)
BB checks, Hero checks, BTN bets $15.37 and is all-in


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4 replies
Suhepxm
Joined: 20.10.2008

3way its a clear fold, heads up its also close but dunno if could let it go with those odds.


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Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

Hi,

tough to say if it's a clear fold. Suhepxm, the SPR is only around 0,5 here for hero. It's a really tough spot here. There isn't really a consensus as far as i know what's the lowest treshold u can fire any flop when 3way to make it automatically profitable.

HU it's a no brainer stackoff with the SPR of 1 or less.

I think if BB folds here i'd call the jam from BTN, if not i might cry fold.

Regards,

Skod


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Omahasaurus
Joined: 04.01.2012

actually the BB folded and I folded too

i still think its very close even when he folded, do you expect him to shove here Kxxx and even worse?


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Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

Hi,

i expect him to shove a FD here always; you also have the correct(ish) equity vs 2 pair, while on the same time you are obviously crushed by sets or straights... With this SPR he should ship any piece of the flop.

It's not a fold as easy as it looks to some on first sight, but i can't blame anyone for choosing this in this spot. I might do it the same way. Both plays are probably very close EV wise, so if you want to reduce variance folding is fine.

Regards,

Skod


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