zoom25 deep turn spot

Joined: 04.01.2012

23.05.2014, 22:46 0

villain is loose very aggro 33/30/28%3bet over 70hands 50%flop and 50%river agg%
double barrells 75% from this small sample

flop - our hand isnt nutty, thats why i preffered calling this deep

turn - when he bets on a bigger side i think its KJ 95% of the time

i think we are never ahead but likely 45/55 so shoving is neutral EV considering the dead money

would it therefore be better to c/c and donk improving rivers? another issue is we probably dont get paid on spades but might get paid on club rivers but not always ...

kinda confused which play is the best

thanks

[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Omaha Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $94.44 (377.8 bb)
BB: $30.60 (122.4 bb)
UTG: $36.05 (144.2 bb)
MP: $48.37 (193.5 bb)
Hero (CO): $91.45 (365.8 bb)
BTN: $57.09 (228.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 3♠ 5♣ K♠ A♣
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.85, BTN raises to $2.90, 2 folds, Hero calls $2.05

Flop: ($6.15) Q♠ T♣ 9♠ (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $4.12, Hero calls $4.12

Turn: ($14.39) 7♣ (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $10.51

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Suhepxm

Joined: 20.10.2008

Posts: 1,052

24.05.2014, 14:15 0

i think c/shove turn is a decent play here, when you get it in you are likely to be fine/okayish (only AsKJsx and AsKKxs have you crushed) and you should have some FE here. If V. is never folding to a jam i just c/c and lead river clubs, not sure about spades, i think check/decide is better than leading.

Twitch.tv/Suhepx

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Skodljivec

Joined: 17.12.2011

Posts: 5,709

25.05.2014, 12:55 0

Originally posted by Suhepxm
i think c/shove turn is a decent play here, when you get it in you are likely to be fine/okayish (only AsKJsx and AsKKxs have you crushed) and you should have some FE here. If V. is never folding to a jam i just c/c and lead river clubs, not sure about spades, i think check/decide is better than leading.

I would donk fold spades probably, i expect him to call, make it 1/2 pot.

Yeah turn really depends on your assesment of FE. Jamming is DEFINETLY + EV with all the dead money. The question is if c/c is better. I actually think c/rai achives here that we make him fold J8 which he should be barreling the turn with, so i like that as a play. He might even fold a set of TT or lower, which is again great for us.

Regards,

Skod

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