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66 set flush completes

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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

PokerStars - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 202.14 BB (VPIP: 28.72, PFR: 18.62, 3Bet Preflop: 10.29, Hands: 195)
Hero (SB): 203.7 BB
BB: 121.76 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 8)
UTG: 116.86 BB (VPIP: 40.00, PFR: 30.00, 3Bet Preflop: 28.57, Hands: 10)
MP: 212.12 BB (VPIP: 22.44, PFR: 18.26, 3Bet Preflop: 7.41, Hands: 1,246)
CO: 152.22 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 6♠ 6♦

fold, MP raises to 2.7 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 2.2 BB, fold

Flop: (6.4 BB, 2 players) 5♦ 8♣ 6♣
Hero checks, MP bets 4 BB, Hero raises to 13 BB, MP calls 9 BB

Turn: (32.4 BB, 2 players) T♣
Hero bets 17 BB, MP calls 17 BB

River: (66.4 BB, 2 players) 4♥
Hero bets 30 BB, MP calls 30 BB

Spoiler

Hero shows 6♠ 6♦ (Three of a Kind, Sixes) (Pre 20%, Flop 86%, Turn 77%)
MP mucks A♣ A♠ (One Pair, Aces) (Pre 80%, Flop 14%, Turn 23%)
Hero wins 121.4 BB

I generally dont know what is the best line after I raise flop and flush completes?

My raise flop is 55, 66, 88, 79s value, and 9Ts, 9Js, AcQo, AcJo, TcJc, Ac2c-Ac5c, AdKd-AdJd, KdQd, KdJd

So I fast play all my sets on draw heavy board, but I am not sure what to do on turn with my strong hands from flop? I completed some flush combos, and have some nut fd on turn which I will bet, I can give up diamond bdfd, and I am not sure if it is better to bet sets and straights from flop or to check/call?


Board: 5♦6♣8♣ T♣
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    35.23%  35.23%   0.00% { 55+, 86s+, 65s, AcKc, AcQc, KcQc, AcJc, KcJc, QcJc, Ac5c, Ac4c, Ac3c, Ac2c }
MP3    64.77%  64.77%   0.00% { 66 }

This is the range I put him that sees the turn. Now he will defend on turn:


Board: 5♦6♣8♣ T♣
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    46.50%  46.50%   0.00% { 88, 66-55, AdAc, AhAc, KdKc, QdQc, QhQc, QsQc, JdJc, JhJc, JsJc, 86s+, 65s, AcKc, AcQc, KcQc, AcJc, KcJc, QcJc, Ac5c, Ac4c, Ac3c, Ac2c }
MP3    53.50%  53.50%   0.00% { 66 }

So it seems that I dont have value on turn, and should be check/calling.
The problem with check/calling is that I expect him to bet someting like :


Board: 5♦6♣8♣ T♣
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    56.85%  56.85%   0.00% { 88, 66-55, 86s+, 65s, AcKc, AcQc, KcQc, AcJc, KcJc, QcJc, Ac5c, Ac4c, Ac3c, Ac2c }
MP3    43.15%  43.15%   0.00% { 66 }

Which means I can call, and maybe he even bets overpairs with club for protection. But river I think he will shove flushes and check other hands so I would be very cappt and would have to fold river unless he turns hands like AcA, KcK into bluff (he could since my range is so cappt to be sets and maybe some T9s).


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4 replies
kasmv
Joined: 06.12.2008

I prefer leading that type of flop most of the times, x/r could be quite tough to play oop 200bb. Turn is definitely bet I would play b/f . not sure about river though b/f looks ok


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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

Originally posted by kasmv
I prefer leading that type of flop most of the times, x/r could be quite tough to play oop 200bb. Turn is definitely bet I would play b/f . not sure about river though b/f looks ok

Whats the point of leading? Are you afraid that he will not cbet the flop? If he doesnt cbet, he likely doesnt have strong hand or draw, so his range is in that case very weak, meaning that with our weak hands and air we can put a lot of pressure on turn and river.

Also, imo doesnt make sense to donk because his range is a lot stronger. I 3bet QQ+, AK vs UTG so I have 99-JJ as overpairs and I dont have value with them for 3 streets, also tough to play vs raise, and he can value raise JJ+, sets, 2 pairs which is a lot more strong hands than in my range. If I donk here on low drawy boards, then my check range is totally weak.


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Well, i don't get the point of leading. Thats imo out of question unless villain is not cbeting which isn't the case @nl50.


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Turn is close, I think you could definitely bet Turn for thin value but you're right that you probably have a slim equity edge of 50-55%.

River would be a check-fold if you bet the Turn on most runouts. On this runout I think betting is extremely -EV -> You are just isolating yourself vs better hands. check and probably check-fold unless you think your opponent is capable of turning overpairs into bluffs.


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