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NL100 KTs v turn raise

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Majku99
Joined: 22.02.2012

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (SB): $100 (100 bb)
BB: $100 (100 bb)
UTG: $96 (96 bb)
MP: $101.50 (101.5 bb)
CO: $102.53 (102.5 bb)
BTN: $124.02 (124 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with T K
4 folds, Hero raises to $3, BB calls $2

Flop: ($6) Q 6 5 (2 players)
Hero bets $4, BB calls $4

Turn: ($14) 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $10.02, BB raises to $34, Hero folds

Results:

Spoiler

$34.04 pot ($1.53 rake)
Final Board: Q 6 5 7
Hero mucked T K and lost (-$17.02 net)
BB mucked and won $32.51 ($15.49 net)

Hey, villain is above

I think I should xc turn becuse opponent raises a lot. As played I see his range on the turn like:77-55,ATs,A7s-A5s,K5s,Q7s-Q6s,J8s,T8s+,98s,86s+,76s,65s,AsJs,KsJs,KcJc,QsJs,KsTs,KcTc,QsTs,JsTs,JcTc,Ks9s,Kc9c,Qs9s,Js9s,Jc9c,As8s,Ac8c,Ks8s,Kc8c,Qs8s,Ks7s,Kc7c,Ks6s,Kc6c,As4s,A8o-A4o,KdQs,KdQc,KhQs,KhQc,KsQd,KsQh,KsQc,KcQd,KcQh,KcQs,KdJs,KdJc,KhJs,KhJc,KsJd,KsJh,KsJc,KcJd,KcJh,KcJs,KdTs,KdTc,KhTs,KhTc,KsTd,KsTh,KsTc,KcTd,KcTh,KcTs

Spoiler

And vs my turn shove I think he can continue with:77-55,ATs,A7s-A6s,Q7s-Q6s,J8s,T8s+,98s,86s+,76s,65s,AsJs,KsJs,KcJc,QsJs,KsTs,KcTc,QsTs,JsTs,JcTc,Ks9s,Kc9c,Qs9s,Js9s,Jc9c,As8s,Ac8c,Ks8s,Kc8c,Qs8s,Ks7s,Kc7c,Ks6s,Kc6c,As4s,A8o-A6o,A4o

Spoiler

FE=25%, EQ=35%
Total EV=
(%oppfolds)(Pot)+(%oppcalls)(%win)(Pot+Bet)-(%opp calls)(%lose)(Bet)=
25%*58+75%*(0,35*117-0,65*83)=4,75
Another option is to call and fold when unimproved ( betafter raise turn 75%). What do you think is best here? how do you see vill's ranges that I posted?
TY


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3 replies
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

I think bet/shove is too spewy. Dont forget his turn range is extremely strong because he folds 60% OTF.

I think checkcall is the best line here because betting sucks and this hand is too strong to checkfold


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Yozan
Joined: 01.01.2010
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

The main difference is that AT has slightly more sd value and that we dont mind betcalling as much. But this guy seems to be raising huge which means we have to betfold.

I dont think we should play it any differently from kt


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