Hero (BTN): 100 BB
SB: 100.5 BB
BB: 101.5 BB
UTG: 117.84 BB
MP: 111.19 BB
CO: 101.79 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♣ 5♣ A♦ 7♠
UTG raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, Hero raises to 10.5 BB, fold, fold, UTG calls 7.5 BB
Flop: (22.5 BB, 2 players) K♦ T♦ 2♣
UTG checks, Hero bets 15 BB, UTG calls 15 BB
Turn: (52.5 BB, 2 players) 8♠
UTG checks, Hero bets 50.14 BB
No reads/stats on villain.
Flop is a standard bet/fold, right? Is the betsize okay? There's some value to be had and we def need to protect our hand. We have the BDFD as well and can bluff really well on diamonds (hard for UTG range to have a flush with Kd and Td out there). I expect him to raise his strong made hands here very often because of how ugly the board can get.
Is potting the turn fine here or is some other play clearly better? I think villain's range is very heavily weighted to pair+draw/decent Kxxx type of hands. Sets and KT mostly raise flop, there's not many K2xx/T2xx in an UTG opening range, and the 8 shouldn't help him especially often. I think we're doing fine against his range but don't really want to see a river. Potting forces villain to either get the money in behind or fold very decent equity, both of which are fine for us.
