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Liar Dice - Diary of a Bean Counter!

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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Hello mate

I'm in especially if we can spin n go for random prize of $.10 - $1


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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

As promised, I've finally talked the good people here at PS.com into letting me produce some new content for you guys. Thanks for your patience, and look forward to any feedback, positive or negative!

Live Session: $30s 6mx


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tonypmm
Joined: 11.01.2009

Awesome, I'll watch it fully after a nap to warm up before a session :f_love:

You've made a really good and necessary point about being polite to opponents that online regulars sometimes forget =)


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jbpatzer
Joined: 23.11.2009

Originally posted by jbpatzer
Since Roo's so enthusiastic, I think we should restart The Zimmers. However, MisClick is stuck in a cleft between two steep rocks somewhere in the U.S.A. and will probably not be able to hack her own arm off in time to manage the club. Since she's the only one who can do this, we'll have to play somewhere else. Fortunately, I created the imaginatively named 'JB's Club' so that I could get my arse handed to me on a plate in last year's PS HU tournament. Let's play there.

Club ID number: 895115
Invitation Code: jbpatzer123

I reckon it's too ageist just to restrict it to old farts. Anyone can join but I reserve the right to throw you out if

(1) I don't like the cut of your jib,
(2) You check-raise me too often when I cbet 98% of my range,
(3) You're no fun.

Joining the club does not guarantee you entry to the Skype channel, because not everyone can cope with Roo asking what the rules of 2-7 single draw are for the 17th time.

We usually start three or four nanostakes MTTs in various games at about 8pm and play until Vorpal sucks out in the final HU pot.

Anybody up for 8pm this Thursday?


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roopopper
Joined: 31.12.2010

Hi Tim


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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Awesome. I shall try to make it. And Roo, I'm waiting for you to hit me up on Skype.


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roopopper
Joined: 31.12.2010

Originally posted by Tim64
And Roo, I'm waiting for you to hit me up on Skype.

Won't be long...just getting my game plan together at the mo, btw i am currently compiling a lot of questions :f_biggrin:


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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008
Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

October Results

Staking: $3310.24
Coaching: $1676.00
SnGs (#258): $583.13
ABI $54.92
HU coaching -$75
Cash: -$119.63

Total: $5374.74

A decent month by any standards. Stakees all did well in what can only be described as the toughest month yet for pro SNG players, as Spin & Gos took off at Stars. I managed a whopping 35 hours of coaching which is the most I've got in so far.

My live session 6mx video was released here on Pokerstrategy and received a ton of nice comments, which was encouraging. Hope to do more videos soon!

I took an hour of HU coaching to help a bit with my big Spin & Go experiment. I decided that, like it or not, this is the biggest thing to hit SnGs in the last few years so it makes sense at least to know what I'm talking about. I should have a 1k sample to report on in the next few days, so watch this space!

Happy Halloween!


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A few more months and your own grind will be zero?

J/k, nice job as usual, I can see that you coach your students well (I frequently have to battle the one on the $30s ;) )


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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Thanks, mate :)

Actually trying to increase volume a bit now that little one is in full time school - so we'll see how it goes.


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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

As promised, here's some details from my 1,000 game sample of Spin & Gos and Jackpot SnGs on PokerStars and Full Tilt over the last couple of months.

First, the graphs:

Now, the Numbers:

Net Winnings: $1448.86
EV chips won: 51,704 or 51.7 chips per game.
ABI: $30.2
ROI: 5%
ITM: 37.2%
ROI based on ITM: ~7% (((1 + -1x) * -30) + (x * 56.4) = $2.1), where x is ITM of 37.2%)*
ROI based on chips won: ~9.8% (51.7* $0.0576 per chip = $2.977 per game)**

*based on 4% rake rather than current rake of 5%+
** method tbc.

Observations:

While 1k is not a large sample it's probably fair to say that any sample below, say, 20k games is going to be misleading as far as actual ROI goes. However, since in this format we're only interested in chip EV, our chips won over time provides the best indication of whether a player is likely to be profitable in the 'long term' (whatever that actually means).

I think most regs have underestimated how much skill is involved in this format. Postflop ability is key and just because professional players can no longer use ICM knowlege as a stick to beat the recreational players with, that doesn't mean this is a format where the recreational players are on level ground.

I'm always going to be a 6mx grinder at heart and so from a personal perspective, Spins have made my tough job even tougher. But I do think this is a genuine attempt by Stars to reinvigorate the ailing SNG market, and I think it just might succeed. If it doesn't.... well... there's always cash. ;)

Thanks for reading.


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Mark1790
Joined: 14.09.2010

Well done Tim, another chicken dinner!!
Good luck (not that you need it!!)
Mark


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roopopper
Joined: 31.12.2010

Originally posted by Tim64
As promised, here's some details from my 1,000 game sample of Spin & Gos and Jackpot SnGs on PokerStars and Full Tilt over the last couple of months.

First, the graphs:

I may need some help with these buddy :f_biggrin:


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roopopper
Joined: 31.12.2010

I'm catching you up :f_biggrin:


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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Lovely job, mate! Glad it's helping and see you soon.


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Hello,nice blog:f_thumbsup:

I asked something on my blog but i got my answer here(about Spin&Go:s).so i put out my chipgraf

So my chances as a recreationel player(have some basic knowledge,that ive studid here),are better against you PRO-guys in Spin&go:s,then in other games:f_confused:??


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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008
Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

November Wrapup

Tough month at the tables, while other areas went well. At lower buyins did reasonably well but crushed at higher stakes which was both tedious and... expensive. Staking and coaching ensured a small plus at the end of the month, but sadly nothing to write home about. On the plus side.... It's almost Christmas!!!

SnGs (inc Spin & Go)

Staking: $1197.38
Coaching: $1159.34
SnGs: (#432): -$2331 (inc R/b) [ROI -16% // ABI $35.06]
Cash: $157.01 (inc R/b)
Extra bonuses: FTP $70 / Stars $120 = $190

Total:
$358.01


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rupucis2
Joined: 27.10.2008

Wsup Tim! Long time no see, had little break from poker, now I`m back and looking forward for some 18man coaching in nearest future!

Swingy November in poker hah.. :(
Wish you a nice little upswing in December! ;)


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