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$2.70 - Wrong calling all in with TT from UTG+1 when ITM?

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alex777uk
Joined: 25.01.2014

Hi guys,

I was playing an MTT and I was in the money, around 40 left and in 15th place. Do you think I made a mistake to call the shove in this situation?

888 Poker - $2.70+$0.30|600/1200 Ante 120 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: 41.89 BB (VPIP: 66.67, PFR: 22.22, 3Bet Preflop: 25.00, Hands: 9)
Hero (UTG+1): 18.4 BB
MP: 45.15 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 2)
MP+1: 17.68 BB (VPIP: 22.22, PFR: 22.22, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 9)
MP+2: 16.28 BB (VPIP: 21.65, PFR: 5.56, 3Bet Preflop: 4.65, Hands: 98)
CO: 20.19 BB (VPIP: 22.22, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 9)
BTN: 3.49 BB (VPIP: 11.11, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, Hands: 9)
SB: 100.62 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 9.30, 3Bet Preflop: 7.14, Hands: 44)
BB: 38.3 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 2)

9 players post ante of 0.1 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.4 BB) Hero has T♥ T♠

fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, MP+1 raises to 17.58 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 14.58 BB

Flop: (37.55 BB, 2 players) 4♠ 7♦ 9♥

Turn: (37.55 BB, 2 players) Q♠

River: (37.55 BB, 2 players) 4♦

Hero shows T♥ T♠ (Two Pair, Tens and Fours)
(Pre 57%, Flop 76%, Turn 5%)
MP+1 shows A♠ Q♦ (Two Pair, Queens and Fours)
(Pre 43%, Flop 24%, Turn 95%)
MP+1 wins 37.55 BB


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2 replies
Crrrrrrr
Joined: 13.05.2012

It's easy to figure it out.

14.58bb to call in order to win 17.58+2.4+1.5+3=24,48
Villain's stack, antes and blinds, your open raise.

14,58/(24,48+14,58)
= 0,37327188940092165899

That means if TT has over 37.32% against Villain's range, it is EV+ to call.

35.84% TdTc
64.16% TT+, AQs+, AKo

If Villains pushes this range or tighter, you need to fold. If you add 99 or AQo to his range, calling is EV+.


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alex777uk
Joined: 25.01.2014

Thanks!


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