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PLO10 - busted everything on the river

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dadev
Joined: 04.03.2011

Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Omaha Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $10 (100 bb)
Hero (BB): $10.41 (104.1 bb)
UTG: $22.07 (220.7 bb)
MP: $9.65 (96.5 bb)
CO: $8.70 (87 bb)
BTN: $8.33 (83.3 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 5 J 8 6
4 folds, SB raises to $0.30, Hero calls $0.20

Flop: ($0.60) 9 6 T (2 players)
SB bets $0.57, Hero calls $0.57

Turn: ($1.74) 2 (2 players)
SB bets $1.60, Hero calls $1.60

River: ($4.94) 8 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $4.73, SB calls $4.73

Spoiler

Results: $14.40 pot ($0.61 rake)
Final Board: 9 6 T 2 8
SB showed 5 7 9 7 and won $13.79 ($6.59 net)
Hero showed 5 J 8 6 and lost (-$7.20 net)

i just don't know if this bluff works out often enouth on this limit.
his stats (280 hands): 27/20 - OR SB 70% - WTS 12
but even without stats he should have bet the nuts himself - am blocking it lil bit, too . sets or less should fold i guess.

i think my turncall is rly bad if i am not able to bluff in this kind of spots!?

so what do u think about his calldown and my bluff?


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3 replies
WhiteWalker
Joined: 06.06.2015

His x/c is to protect against a raise on the river. Some players will be stubborn and call 100% of non flush rivers where his straight has not improved but he still just see's a straight. I think you can bluff in spots like this but I would prefer outs to the nuts. Our flush draw can often be nutted and then we only have a 7 to the nuts. Blind on blind I think you will get a call more often but you must consider what villain is bet betting on flop and river. The board is so wet if you are going to bluff I would overbet in NLO.

The issue is that you likely raise the nuts on the flop or river when you don't raise you are lowering your potential combinations of hands. I think a more well structured bluff would have been to raise flop or turn and fold to an all in. When villain goes all in you know what kind of play blind on blind he prefers, you know he never throws away dummy ends of the straights and therefore you can note to not bluff him in them kind of spots in the future.


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dadev
Joined: 04.03.2011

it's plo zoom - hm2 just acting like a retard... business as usual


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Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

Hi,

i like 3betting pre vs plo10 regulars. Like u said, the turn call is iffy since you have very few nutty outs and the opponent keeps bombing at you; for all you know you could be drawing to two 7's.

River i don't think you need to pot if you bluff, but i really don't think this is a good spot to do so. The reason is that his range should be really strong here after he bets twice this big; you block a lot of the draws so he should have made hands there alot, and at every stake people like to be stubborn in these kind of spots.

If you do bluff like i said no need to pot, i think a 3/4 bet has the exact same chance of working.

Regards,

Skod


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