Value bet on the river

Yes. Only better hand would be 78 and we already have two sevens. I think we have almost the nuts here so we should bet for value.

Bet around 1/2 pot, maybe a bit lower. We do not have many hands but since guy looks like fish, he can pay two streets with any overcards. So, yes we should bet.

vs probably fish - yes we can. VS better opponent I believe we can´t.

You can bet but make it small.

Why can't we bet vs a good opponent? Are we afraid of 78? Isn't it more probable that fish is calling w/ 78 pre and calling flop w/ gutshot? Wouldn't they have raised ott?

I think we should bet a little more on the turn and bet the rest of his stack on the river.

Originally posted by la55i
Why can't we bet vs a good opponent? Are we afraid of 78? Isn't it more probable that fish is calling w/ 78 pre and calling flop w/ gutshot? Wouldn't they have raised ott?

It´s not only about what beat us but also what worse calling. It can be true that fish can has more hands which beat us on the river but he also has much more hands which call with and reg not.

Originally posted by la55i
Why can't we bet vs a good opponent? Are we afraid of 78? Isn't it more probable that fish is calling w/ 78 pre and calling flop w/ gutshot? Wouldn't they have raised ott?

Villain's range on river is not only 78, right? There are a lot of worse hands that may call the small bet.

Thanks for the replies everyone!

Looks like a small bet is the way to go then.
He can definately call with A2 or 56 suited imo but I am also afraid of a possible full house here.

Originally posted by la55i
Yes. Only better hand would be 78 and we already have two sevens. I think we have almost the nuts here so we should bet for value.

all the full houses beat us too but maybe he raises them OTF

Oh shit yeah the board paired. Didn't see that last time. I shouldn't review any hands before going to sleep.

It is the paired board that created the discussion.