Why you lose? Learn by Reinforcement and crush!! - asimos Poker Blog

Exploitation

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $74 (148 bb)
Hero (BB): $50 (100 bb)
UTG: $358.49 (717 bb)
MP: $50.10 (100.2 bb)
CO: $90.36 (180.7 bb)
BTN: $40.73 (81.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with K A
3 folds, BTN raises to $1.50, SB folds, Hero raises to $10, BTN raises to $40.73 and is all-in, Hero calls $30.73

Flop: ($81.71) 7 4 4 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
Turn: ($81.71) 6 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: ($81.71) 2 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results: $81.71 pot ($2.50 rake)
Final Board: 7 4 4 6 2
Hero showed K A and won $79.21 ($38.48 net)
BTN showed Q 9 and lost (-$40.73 net)

Bluffing the river

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (SB): $107.29 (107.3 bb)
BB: $193.89 (193.9 bb)
UTG: $100 (100 bb)
MP: $196.77 (196.8 bb)
CO: $163.47 (163.5 bb)
BTN: $349.68 (349.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A T
3 folds, BTN raises to $2, Hero raises to $8, BB folds, BTN raises to $18, Hero calls $10

Flop: ($37) 3 6 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

Turn: ($37) 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $11.66, BTN calls $11.66

River: ($60.32) 8 (2 players)
Hero bets $77.63, BTN folds

Results: $60.32 pot ($2.71 rake)
Final Board: 3 6 9 3 8
Hero mucked A T and won $57.61 ($27.95 net)
BTN mucked and lost (-$29.66 net)

Would be very interesting to get your whole range for that last hand you posted. Turn and river ranges that is.
Do you think opponent is over folding in such spots? Since it is a 4 bet pot pre his range will be somewhat capped (depending on his 4 bet range % BTN vs BB that is). He certainly has Adxd for bluff pre and I would assume some Kdxd as well. He also has some Adxo bluffs but with those I feel he would likely bet the flop and not check. His value range is minimum JJ+ AK here so he has AdKo and AoKd. With each of those he probably c bets rather then check behind much more frequently.
So I think in his checking range are mainly JJ QQ and with some frequency Adxo or KdXo which are likely folding to your river shove.
BTW, find those spots very interesting on monotone textures and I feel some opponents will never defend enough on those so it is very open for exploitation while others would never fold you JJ here.

Originally posted by IvicaIliev77
Would be very interesting to get your whole range for that last hand you posted. Turn and river ranges that is.
Do you think opponent is over folding in such spots? Since it is a 4 bet pot pre his range will be somewhat capped (depending on his 4 bet range % BTN vs BB that is). He certainly has Adxd for bluff pre and I would assume some Kdxd as well. He also has some Adxo bluffs but with those I feel he would likely bet the flop and not check. His value range is minimum JJ+ AK here so he has AdKo and AoKd. With each of those he probably c bets rather then check behind much more frequently.
So I think in his checking range are mainly JJ QQ and with some frequency Adxo or KdXo which are likely folding to your river shove.
BTW, find those spots very interesting on monotone textures and I feel some opponents will never defend enough on those so it is very open for exploitation while others would never fold you JJ here.

My range is 99-AA, A7s+, AJo+ KQs... of course I m shoving some of them some of the times depending on the opponent.

Now, I expect Villain to flat some of the times JJ,QQ pre. Also I expect to shove some of the times the turn with them, especially if he doesn't hold a diamond.

What is for sure, when he checks the flop I can rep stronger than he does. In principle, when people start by checking we should consider put pressure (at stakes >= 100nl where they have the fold button :f_love:)

My river shove is slightly over bet, so doesn't need to work that often. So yes, he is folding almost always Adx, Kdx etc.

*Also villain doesn't know me, and I don't feel he keeps notes if I am over bluffing or not in this spot, so until develop some history being balanced is not my concern. Also I don't block Ad, Td so my hand is kind of good bluff candidate... and probably close to the bottom of my range.

50nl zoom

100nl zoom

... and a spin graph (around 400 tourns)... just for the fun

Do not try this at home

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $116.38 (116.4 bb)
Hero (BB): $109.17 (109.2 bb)
UTG: $492.60 (492.6 bb)
MP: $139.46 (139.5 bb)
CO: $187.83 (187.8 bb)
BTN: $102.66 (102.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 2 7
3 folds, BTN raises to $2, SB folds, Hero calls $1

Flop: ($4.50) A 6 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

Turn: ($4.50) 7 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $2, Hero calls $2

River: ($8.50) T (2 players)
Hero bets $6.09, BTN folds

Results: $8.50 pot ($0.38 rake)
Final Board: A 6 8 7 T
Hero mucked 2 7 and won $8.12 ($4.12 net)
BTN mucked and lost (-$4 net)

Do not try this at home (2)

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $51 (102 bb)
BB: $48.04 (96.1 bb)
UTG: $50 (100 bb)
MP: $99.15 (198.3 bb)
CO: $60.89 (121.8 bb)
Hero (BTN): $55.81 (111.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 5 8
3 folds, Hero raises to $1.02, SB raises to $3.50, BB folds, Hero calls $2.48

Flop: ($7.50) K 4 7 (2 players)
SB bets $4.20, Hero calls $4.20

Turn: ($15.90) 8 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $7.59, SB folds

Results: $15.90 pot ($0.72 rake)
Final Board: K 4 7 8
SB mucked and lost (-$7.70 net)
Hero mucked 5 8 and won $15.18 ($7.48 net)

Do not try this at home (3)

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $280.78 (280.8 bb)
Hero (BB): $110.64 (110.6 bb)
UTG: $825.90 (825.9 bb)
MP: $107.77 (107.8 bb)
CO: $107.06 (107.1 bb)
BTN: $100.80 (100.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 4 6
3 folds, BTN raises to $2, SB folds, Hero calls $1

Flop: ($4.50) Q K K (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $2.15, Hero calls $2.15

Turn: ($8.80) 3 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: ($8.80) K (2 players)
Hero bets $5, BTN folds

Results: $8.80 pot ($0.40 rake)
Final Board: Q K K 3 K
Hero mucked 4 6 and won $8.40 ($4.25 net)
BTN mucked and lost (-$4.15 net)

Seems to be running not that bad after all!

Coming back to a hand you posted earlier....
So, what's the thought behind it? Do your opponents see you folding to any push or what?

Originally posted by asimos
Exploitation

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $74 (148 bb)
Hero (BB): $50 (100 bb)
UTG: $358.49 (717 bb)
MP: $50.10 (100.2 bb)
CO: $90.36 (180.7 bb)
BTN: $40.73 (81.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with K A
3 folds, BTN raises to $1.50, SB folds, Hero raises to $10, BTN raises to $40.73 and is all-in, Hero calls $30.73

Flop: ($81.71) 7 4 4 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
Turn: ($81.71) 6 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: ($81.71) 2 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results: $81.71 pot ($2.50 rake)
Final Board: 7 4 4 6 2
Hero showed K A and won $79.21 ($38.48 net)
BTN showed Q 9 and lost (-$40.73 net)

Originally posted by SvenBe
Seems to be running not that bad after all!

Coming back to a hand you posted earlier....
So, what's the thought behind it? Do your opponents see you folding to any push or what?

Originally posted by asimos
Exploitation

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $74 (148 bb)
Hero (BB): $50 (100 bb)
UTG: $358.49 (717 bb)
MP: $50.10 (100.2 bb)
CO: $90.36 (180.7 bb)
BTN: $40.73 (81.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with K A
3 folds, BTN raises to $1.50, SB folds, Hero raises to $10, BTN raises to $40.73 and is all-in, Hero calls $30.73

Flop: ($81.71) 7 4 4 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
Turn: ($81.71) 6 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: ($81.71) 2 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results: $81.71 pot ($2.50 rake)
Final Board: 7 4 4 6 2
Hero showed K A and won $79.21 ($38.48 net)
BTN showed Q 9 and lost (-$40.73 net)

Nah, this guy is aggro fish not folding anything... that's why I 3bet him huge. Nothing really special with this hand. Just to remind myself that fish thinks differently

Hey, Panos, what's up? Didn't know you're still blogging! Nice to see you're doing great, especially with the full-stacks. Are you playing regular tables, right? Not Zoom?

And what's your approach to Spin-n-Go's? I was playing those now and then but with no strategy really.

Originally posted by DemonRax
Hey, Panos, what's up? Didn't know you're still blogging! Nice to see you're doing great, especially with the full-stacks. Are you playing regular tables, right? Not Zoom?

And what's your approach to Spin-n-Go's? I was playing those now and then but with no strategy really.

Hey!! nice you see you again around.
No, no regulars tables.
I play 100nl zoom at the moment, trying to build some sample.
I find the gap between 100nl and 50nl kind of lager, so my winrate has dropped, still positive though. Making a lot of adaptions in my strategy in order to increase it... target >5bb and move up.
Regarding spins, I am going to put some volume there also in some instance. Have developed some strategy for those too. But 100nl zoom is current priority.

Little updates:

100nl zoom

... very clear which position needs improvement. Lets see how I do after adjustments.

50nl zoom
Haven't play 50nl for a while... but I might make 100K sample with this win rate ... just for the record

Originally posted by asimos
Little updates:

100nl zoom

... very clear which position needs improvement. Lets see how I do after adjustments.

50nl zoom
Haven't play 50nl for a while... but I might make 100K sample with this win rate ... just for the record

thats a sweet winrate on nl50. do u think there is a point in moving up if u could maintain that winrate long term at nl50?
im just curious whats the pros and cons between those two.

best wishes and gl!

Those results look impressive, man! Keep up the good work. You always give me motivation and hope

If you could explain a little bit your strategy on Spin-n-Go's I would appreciate that. Was playing a little bit, around 150 tourneys or so, win positive ROI, but your graph looks more solid - so you might have some good ideas.

stop playing sb and bb :)) GL

Originally posted by vuciitis

Originally posted by asimos
Little updates:

100nl zoom

... very clear which position needs improvement. Lets see how I do after adjustments.

50nl zoom
Haven't play 50nl for a while... but I might make 100K sample with this win rate ... just for the record

thats a sweet winrate on nl50. do u think there is a point in moving up if u could maintain that winrate long term at nl50?
im just curious whats the pros and cons between those two.

best wishes and gl!

well, my task is to obtain similar win rate at 100nl in some point. And I know the way to do it... is a matter of time.
Moving up always is a challenge... but I plan to grind massively at 100nl ... and then 200nl to make some real money.

Of course I could do that at 50nl... but I aim at 5-10K / month, so even with this win rate, cause I can't play full time at them moment is kind of difficult.
* also win rate at 50nl can be higher, I believe... after the experience I gained from 100nl
Best wishes too and gl

Originally posted by DemonRax
Those results look impressive, man! Keep up the good work. You always give me motivation and hope

If you could explain a little bit your strategy on Spin-n-Go's I would appreciate that. Was playing a little bit, around 150 tourneys or so, win positive ROI, but your graph looks more solid - so you might have some good ideas.

Hey, thanks for good words. You have been also a support for me and I appreciate that. Best wishes with your challenge
Regarding spin-n-go's ... if you give away the strategy in a forum then everyone will do it and game won't be profitable anymore, isn't it ? :f_love::f_drink:

Originally posted by murzius
stop playing sb and bb :)) GL

I try to stop... but the stars software always posting for me!! Do you know any tip to avoid that ?
Can't find the fucking button "never post a blind ever" !!

Very nice results Panos.

Don't get yourself too caught up in increasing 100nl winrate. In my opinion it will be a mistake to wait until you get a 5bb/100 winrate. Just use a decent BR management and try to find out if you are ready to take shots at 200nl, and then do it.

Good luck.