PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (BTN): $28.96
SB: $65.77 (VPIP: 23.53, PFR: 21.32, 3Bet Preflop: 10.91, Hands: 137)
BB: $43.67 (VPIP: 26.94, PFR: 19.56, 3Bet Preflop: 7.83, Hands: 279)
UTG: $26.29 (VPIP: 21.32, PFR: 13.72, 3Bet Preflop: 2.70, Hands: 1,124)
MP: $25.09 (VPIP: 28.74, PFR: 24.55, 3Bet Preflop: 10.17, Hands: 182)
CO: $45.48 (VPIP: 24.24, PFR: 19.70, 3Bet Preflop: 6.45, Hands: 71)
SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has 9♣ 7♣
fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.61, SB raises to $2.03, fold, Hero calls $1.42
Flop: ($4.31, 2 players) Q♥ A♦ 5♣
SB checks, Hero checks
Turn: ($4.31, 2 players) Q♣
SB bets $2.12, Hero calls $2.12
River: ($8.55, 2 players) 9♦
SB checks, Hero checks
In this hand I play against a Reg with 11% 3bet overall, 10% from the SB and 40% vs the BTN. Assumption: He should be fairly loose. Therefore 79s is a defend.
On the AQxr I give him a checkingrange of all his weaker Axs, Qx, maybe AJ, and Pockets such as 77-JJ, and KK. Therefore his range should be fairly capped. But I don't see enough foldequity if we bet + our equity is pretty much reduced to a backdoor flushdraw
--> checkback (basically hoping to spike some equity)
Now he bets half pot, which doesn't look like Qx to me and he could be betting all his weak Ax now, or occasional bluffs.
What line would you take here?
By raising we basically rep Qx (which is very likely) and we could raise it up and bet every river trying get him from Ax, or we choose theh lower variance version by just calling, but then the riverplay gets more difficult. We can't really bluff him because his check/calling range should be too wide and he might put us on exactly what we have: a busted flushdraw. But in case we hit I think we have enough implieds to profitably call the turn.
