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AQ shove?

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grimpop
Joined: 02.05.2013

Hi again,

I'm deep in a MTT and get AQ with 21BB.
What is the right play here? I don't have any stats on the player.

PokerStars - $0.25+$0.25+$0.05|4500/9000 Ante 1400 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG+1: 40.73 BB
MP: 34.93 BB (VPIP: 6.25, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 16)
MP+1: 51.8 BB (VPIP: 10.17, PFR: 5.17, 3Bet Preflop: 4.76, Hands: 59)
MP+2: 46.03 BB (VPIP: 15.25, PFR: 11.86, 3Bet Preflop: 5.56, Hands: 59)
CO: 62.75 BB
BTN: 43.75 BB (VPIP: 21.28, PFR: 10.64, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 47)
Hero (SB): 21.19 BB
BB: 49.73 BB (VPIP: 20.83, PFR: 4.17, 3Bet Preflop: 5.56, Hands: 48)
UTG: 139.51 BB (VPIP: 35.59, PFR: 20.69, 3Bet Preflop: 5.26, Hands: 59)

9 players post ante of 0.16 BB, Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.9 BB) Hero has Q♥ A♠

fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, CO raises to 4.9 BB, fold, Hero raises to 21.04 BB and is all-in, fold, CO calls 16.14 BB

Flop: (44.47 BB, 2 players) 4♠ 4♥ J♥

Turn: (44.47 BB, 2 players) 5♠

River: (44.47 BB, 2 players) 7♠

Spoiler

Hero shows Q♥ A♠ (One Pair, Fours)
(Pre 43%, Flop 27%, Turn 14%)
CO shows T♥ T♣ (Two Pair, Tens and Fours)
(Pre 57%, Flop 73%, Turn 86%)
CO wins 44.47 BB


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4 replies
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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Weird sizing of this player. Almost 5x, but in the 55c stakes you can expect everything off course.
I think against a unknown I would shove here as well, but if you have info about a bet sizing tell or something it could change my decision here.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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RedHeater
Joined: 08.10.2010

The shove looks fine. You have the right sort of stack for it.


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Malendes
Joined: 03.04.2011

Against an unknown in a micro, shoving is fine here


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mylove190207
Joined: 10.04.2011

Sizing is something that would make me nervous here with AQo. 5x PFR is usually verry strong hand. What hands do you wish that opponent have when he is 5x open and that you beat? I can't imagine many. Another factor that is also very important is if opponent is capable of r/f with 5x open. I siriously doubt about that. So if you put all together, then crying fold is not so bad. If you have read that he is opening always with 5x, then go and shove it. But readless I expect only r/c range when opponent open more than 3,5x in late stage and I expect him to have at most 88+, AJs+, AQo.

On Bounty-Builder tournament is this little bit different and you can expect wider range when opponent 5x. But still it would be very tight range and I don't like 3bet shove here. It is some sort of slow structure and with 20bb you have still enough to get better opportunity.

Overall I would 3bet shove if oppnent is aggro and doing those raises as a default, against unknown I would make crying fold.

GL at tables!


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