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[Closed] [PROMOTION] Guess the Hand [Hand 1]

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The BB has KK. I dont think he would minraise 5-bet bluff because he is a tight player and doesnt want to give good odds for hero to call if he bluffs or reraise allin so i guess as a bluff he would just shove if he isnt doing the mindgame stuff where he minraise 5bet-bluffs because villain assumes he would only do this with a really strong holding. Also Villain calls the shove so he doesnt have a bluff. So the 5-bet is for value. A reasonable Value-Range for a minraise 5-bet against the button after a 4-bet would be QQ+ because i think he would shove AK and lower pocket pairs directly because of the danger of not hitting an Ace or a King on the flop in case of AK or facing overcards to a lower pocketpair out of position and also trying to make the button lay down some stronger holdings if he has worse. With the minraise 5bet he can also induce bluffs from worse hands. Because i guess that the BB would also shove QQ sometimes and 5bet KK more often i go for KK here. AA i discount because hero has AA which also lowers the chances of the BB to have AK.


djeambeam
Joined: 03.03.2016

i assume he had AKs (AKc / AKh).

Because hero raise 4 bet. so BB thought its pure bluffing just to make BB and SB described HERO has any pocket PAIR and make them (SB and BB) fold and HERO WIN the pot without competition because UTG, MP and CO had folded. BB thought the hero trying to make a pressure for BB and SB, and after that it made SB FOLD also and made it to be head up situation.

but BB trying to re-pressure HERO by re-raise until 7.5BB or $30. but HERO trying to re-pressure again by raise back to $60 and gave a signal to BB that "I'm really had pocket aces".

than BB try re-raise again to make sure that HERO really had Pocket Aces, and BB re-raise until $124. and HERO answers BB dare with ALL IN.

than BB counting his probabilities for the conclusion desicion :
let say HERO has Pocket Aces and BB has AKs. its mean 3 Aces has been coming out and 1 aces remaining/left in the deck card. its mean impossible HERO will make 4 of kind. because BB has Ace also. at least HERO just have 1/52 chances to make 3 of kind but BB has 3/52 Kings in the deck card.

so..
1. BB has more remaining Kings in the deck 2/52 than HERO just have 1/52 chances for dealt to make a FULLHOUSE or PAIR/ 3 of kind ( if HERO has less than KK or less than AK likes AQs/o or AJs/o etc)
2. let say BB need more card to make a FULLHOUSE and HERO will get 3ofkind. but BB got another chances opportunity to make a NUT with 4 of kind neither for HERO because BB has 1 heros ace.
3. BB just need 3 more card to make a STRAGHT, FLUSH, and maybe ROYAL FLUSH because BB have suit connector card AKs. but HERO need 4 more card to make all of that.
4. Probability of facing a better A when BB have an AK hand is just 0.245% by 1 opponent or head up.

and base on that calculation BB made decision to call HEROs ALL IN. because HERO just FULL HOUSE to make a NUT, cant make 4 of kind base on that situation but need more card to dealt to make ROYAL FLUSH which has 0.0001539077% probability and 649737:1 ODDS.

if BB had KK+, he should not doing continues raise and re-raise to make sure what does HERO have. he will go ALL IN after hero raise back or re-raise his raise.

that is all of my opinion about this case.:f_drink::f_drink::f_drink:


jukitas
Joined: 02.03.2010

TT


latalataee
Joined: 20.04.2011

KK or AA, but since hero has AA, i say it's KK. Min 5-bet from tight solid player could be a value bet.


roberta2309
Joined: 21.04.2016
MrFabioS
Joined: 19.06.2008

When BB re raise, I cud wander he hold AA, KK, AKs, QQ or AKo.
When they raise again, theyr hand field was reduced to AA, KK or AKs, this are only hands that justify this move comming from a tigth player.
When they pay All in, only hand he cud hold are AA, a tigth player will never go allin pre-flop, at this lavel, aginst some one with more chips, without a best hand, or we make a mistake classifiing the BB.


chilowww
Joined: 01.03.2014
FinalTableTillus
Joined: 16.10.2006

BB has AKs. He doesnt love, but mind getting it in. plus he has a blocker each for AA and KK.


Ya q BB es tight lo pongo en A♥:K♥: ya que con el 5bet intenta blufear a btn que tiene un rango mas amplio


kidmaglor
Joined: 20.04.2016

I believe the BB's hand is, surprisingly, the other aces: Ac , Ah

Being a tight player he must have a monster to keep raising, not wanting to scare us off.
But I would rule out QQ or even KK. With these I would have gone ALL-IN some where, not wanting to see an higher card in Flop.
He must think we have one of those two hands or even A-K...


miguelangel2973
Joined: 15.12.2010

QQ, el par de AA bloquea muchos combos premiuns con la que BB podría jugarse la caja en guerra de ciegas tipo AK, AQ, igualmente siendo una pequeña roca no va a jugarse la caja muy light,


sutiplay
Joined: 06.04.2016
LeRoux90
Joined: 24.08.2015

JJ.

Vilain expect to see 4bet light sometimes from this position. He min-raise to let hero the opportunity to push hands like AQ+ or keep bluffing. With the SPR, there is no other option than call.


leopf84
Joined: 17.11.2013

A♥:A♣:

this is the most probably hand that he can hold. Another one that is possible is KK or QQ but I would preffer a bigger raise with those holdings.


skate6789
Joined: 12.12.2010

KK y hace raise para que el oponente no ligue en el pre-flop


alfreditov
Joined: 24.09.2010

AQ SUITE ,Honestamente mi análisis el siguiente si observamos la cantidad de fichas esta por debajo, simplemente es un jugador casual en estos STAKES, y entro por buscar dinero de suerte (GAMBLER), obtiene una mano digamos que algo buena, y con es un novato o jugador casual piensa q esta dominando ..... hace el raise tipico de juego, y despues siente la mano tan poderosa que no la quiere foldiar, y esta dispuesto a pagar y pagar cualquier tipo de subida, no hay que dar tanta vuelta y tanto analisis.


KrisRukov
Joined: 26.06.2010

the other two AA


Toriop
Joined: 16.09.2016

9♥:T♥: :yaoming:


sam001
Joined: 30.09.2008