9♠: T♠:
Ac Kc, He probably puts the a's hand on something like AQ-AJ, or a low pair like 10's or 9's, His raise is purely because he thinks he's got him beat with his 2 over-cards,
BB → AA. = Strong hand that does not call on the button. Button claims the strength, but BB claims further strength, the amount that wants that to reliably call rather than the 5 bet (the amount that can not be folded)
En théorie AA/KK/QQ ou AK. Si BB est tight probablement limité à AA ou KK. Déjà 1 as chez hero donc plus de chances d'avoir KK
Ele também tinha um par alto, tipo KK ou QQ
Fez isto imaginando que o BTN teria AK
BB has pair of 10.
Because if he had another big pair maybe had played with more strong. He waited for a bluff from hero.
BB tiene un par de 10.
Porque si tuviera una mano mas fuerte, jugaría mas fuerte. El esta esperando un bluff. por eso prueba duplicando su apuesta.
AA .
Only other hand that is worth thinking of here is KK, but I'll stick with AA.
btw: AKs or AKo are too risky.
Explanation first
Stack sizes are the same so no problem with the 5 bet being an over-commitment. The BB has the goods it is just a question of what we face.
The min raise from the Button could get 3-bet from a number of hands from a tight player. But the 5 bet means he has a strong hand - consisting of from a tight player
KK, AA, AK, QQ and possibly AQ and JJ
Hero has AA so facing AA, AK, AQ is less likely
The min 5-bet is confusing me and I would need to have a bit more of a read of the stats to narrow this down further. A min 5-bet could be an attempt to force a shove - so in this case a KK
Or it could be a timid play with AK, hoping that he will go away based on the original min raise from the button. I am going to discount JJ and QQ because a tight player may be able to lay these down (I have laid these down in the past in similar situations)
I think it is the latter and therefore AK(s) clubs
When he 3-bets Button´s minraise to 30$, I would give him a tighter range than usual, , but I certainly wouldn't discount a few bluffs as well tryin to pick the pot. Maybe something like TT+, AQo+, KQo+, ATs+, KJs+, and maybe some suited Ax and some Suited Connectors to balance his value range.
But when BTN min4-bets (implying a stronger range himself) and he min 5-bets, I think we can exclude all the bluffs. He´s a tight player and even if he has some bluffs in his 5-betting range, he would 5-bet bigger for fold equity. I think we can also discount TT-QQ, AT-AQ and the broadways. He would call with those, maybe even fold some.
I guess he can have AK, but we having two aces on our hand makes him less likely to have it, and also I think that he would never min5-bet with AK because if BTN flat calls his 5-bet, he´s gonna be in a tough spot OOP when the flop don´t hit.
So, I would put him on KK+, but because we have two blockers to the aces, my guess for his most likely hand would be KK.