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Faving flop raise OOP with overpair

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bigdog63
Joined: 24.10.2011

villain is a solid reg. What would you do here?
I am unsure how many bluffs and draws he can really have in his range

Pacific $5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 3074943
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

UTG: $5.33 - VPIP: 35, PFR: 2, 3B: 2, AF: 3,5, Hands: 164
MP: $1.56 - VPIP: 50, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 2
CO: $5.05 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 4, 3B: 0, AF: 1,3, Hands: 146
BTN: $5.25 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 14, 3B: 6, AF: 2,4, Hands: 779
SB: $5.00 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 19, 3B: 5, AF: 2,6, Hands: 799
Hero (BB): $5.00 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 17, 3B: 7, AF: 3,0, Hands: 95954

Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is BB with Q :heart: Q :spade:
1 fold, MP calls $0.05, 1 fold, BTN raises to $0.17, 1 fold, Hero raises to $0.53, 1 fold, BTN calls $0.36

Flop: ($1.13) 8 :heart: J :diamond: 4 :diamond: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.84, BTN raises to $2.02, Hero ???


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6 replies
Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

He looks very tight with 18/14 so I think we can even fold the flop vs his raise. His range is probably something like JJ, AdKd, AdQd and we have just 25% of equity vs that range, we need 29% to call.


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

Agree with the above. We should fold in this case unfortunately.


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Dadramel
Joined: 10.08.2014

Faced with a very tight player, size of the raise is also troubling, just give it up


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

It looks like the BTN hit a set or something, because he’s committing himself with this raise. It’s still tough to fold, because he could have the flush draw as well and if you have reads he’s doing this with top pair as well then you could even shove here. Normal I would fold this as well.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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BingoWings
Joined: 14.04.2017

Id favor folding the flop as'well and id add 9dTd 8d9d perhaps 7d8d into his range as'well, villain possibly 4bets AKs and with hands like AdQd we have to allow for a calling range with some draws on the flop. So i think your looking at sets and big combo draws mostly and likely have somewhere around the 20%-24% equity mark.


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bigdog63
Joined: 24.10.2011

thx


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