So this was a real tough spot for me. I was raised on the flop which I didnt expect, but it was such a soft raise, I had to call. Then I get a great price on the turn to continue, and then I get a good price on the River to call, but I really think im beat with a Flush, or maybe even a full house. I dont think my Kings are the best hand. Take a look at the hand below and let me know what you might have done differently here.
Thanks
Winning Poker Network (Yatahay) - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
SB: 83.4 BB (VPIP: 19.23, PFR: 13.46, 3Bet Preflop: 5.00, Hands: 57)
BB: 40 BB (VPIP: 26.42, PFR: 22.64, 3Bet Preflop: 10.53, Hands: 54)
Hero (UTG): 100 BB
MP: 47.88 BB (VPIP: 30.00, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 33.33, Hands: 10)
CO: 92.52 BB (VPIP: 11.11, PFR: 7.41, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 28)
BTN: 100.72 BB (VPIP: 21.11, PFR: 18.89, 3Bet Preflop: 3.57, Hands: 94)
SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has K♣ K♠
Hero raises to 3 BB, MP calls 3 BB, fold, fold, SB calls 2.6 BB, fold
Flop: (10 BB, 3 players) 6♣ 2♠ 3♣
SB checks, Hero bets 4.76 BB, MP raises to 9.52 BB, fold, Hero calls 4.76 BB
So here I am getting real good odds to call his raise. Its only 16% pot odds to call, and I have 12 outs when you consider 10 clubs to get a K high flush and a set of Kings. I think I have to call this, even if it may seem he is value betting.
Turn: (29.04 BB, 2 players) 2♣
Hero checks, MP bets 6.92 BB, Hero calls 6.92 BB
I check here after getting raised on the flop. I dont think betting is the right play here, because I might get raised again, so im hoping that I get to see a free card, or at worst a cheap turn to the river. He gives me just that with a tiny bet. I still have 11 outs for a K high full house or a K high flush, so to me this call is a no brainer. I dont want to raise him here because he may then come around and shove which I dont want. Im happy with the cheap bet here especially since at the moment im thinking I might be losing this hand.
River: (42.88 BB, 2 players) T♠
Hero checks, MP bets 20.4 BB, fold
Well unfortunately I missed everything here. I once again have to check because based on his betting I think he is strong. He throws another value bet to me, not even shoving all in, but giving me 25% pot odds to call. After giving this long thought I said to myself there is no way he is doing all of this with worse than KK. I was very tempted to call, but decided in the end, I have probably been beat this entire time. My guess is he either nailed me with a flush, quite possibly with Ax of clubs, or he had 66 and hit a full house. That being said it was tough because he was a fish, as I was able to figure from his open limping from UTG in previous hands. I dont think a Fish would be this aggressive with anything worse than my KK.
MP wins 40.76 BB
EDIT - Hmm, I record my sessions using screen capture and rewatched this hand, and I wasnt even thinking he has a straight, but I think there is a chance he had 54s being a loose player, making the straight on the flop. This would make sense with his light raise on the flop, and then light bet on the turn. He bets for value but really light hoping I dont have the flush. Then when I check on the River he knows I dont have a flush and bets into me for value.