AKQ6ss - river spot vs reg

Calling this down seems fair enough for me as PLO fish. You are blocking 2 sets and you beat some 2-pair combo’s as well and if we raise on 1 point we get only action of better I think.

Cheers,
SDK1987

Without the ace it's a better call. With it, i think folding is fine too.

Originally posted by Shevtshenko
Without the ace it's a better call. With it, i think folding is fine too.

We block straight draw wraps he barrels?

One Ace doesn’t block that heavily imo. I can check some numbers tomorrow.

Interesting stuff.

If his cbet range is AA+,JT9+ then the A blocker works in reversed way.

When hero has AKQ6, villain has JT9+ (=AJT,JT9) 24,4% of times. If we change hero's hand to KQ62, villain has those 22,2% of times.

Reason is that A blocks AA heavily too.

Now if we change his cbet range to KQ+,JT9+ the numbers for wraps are 42% with an Ace and 44,7% without.

If we widen his cbet range to K+,JT+ then the numbers for JT+ are 30,8% with an Ace and 27,1% without.

I really don't see how hero could ever fold here. If villains cbet range is KQ+,JT9+ hero has 53% equity on the river. And the wider it gets, the more equity hero has.

Originally posted by Kyyberi

If we widen his cbet range to K+,JT+ then the numbers for JT+ are 30,8% with an Ace and 27,1% without.

Once consideration is how much he barrels with this same range. I'd assume he's not betting turn with exactly same range. Some KJTA type hands should definitely consider x/b turn, no? The barreling hands already become more polarised. I'd say AA barreling turn is already a little close - though I'd like an opinion on that?

Depends on how villain sees hero's range. Turn is as blank as it can be, and if hero raises sets on the flop then it's a good spot to barrel. Draws work as semibluff and other work as value. Some people just barrel that blank with most of their range and some check back those draws cos they don't want to be check-raised. The thing is that if villain checks that turn it pretty much caps his range. Some players can deal with that and some don't want to put themselves to that position.

So with AA (+no relevant side cards) you're happy with plan of barreling for similar size?

Yes, especially if opponent is likely to raise 2p+ on the flop.

Originally posted by Kyyberi
Yes, especially if opponent is likely to raise 2p+ on the flop.

Are there really regs that raise this flop vs 3/4 psb with two pair 265bbs deep?

I would assume so. Doesn't mean it's the best strategy or that all do it. But some do.

Yeah, tbh, I'm not in love with raising many 2p on this flop. We either get action from better or from very strong wraps. Either way we are going to dislike many runnouts at this stack depth.

I don't really ever see the flop value c/r from regs this deep with less than QQ. Actually I'm unsure if the BB benefits much from having a c/ring range on the flop at all.

Why wouldn't BB need a raise range?

Originally posted by Kyyberi
Why wouldn't BB need a raise range?

I think Shev means we're at a range disadvantage on this particular flop. So it's harder for us to have a balanced x/r range. Is that right?

Not really. Just that it's tough to c/r a meaningful amount on this flop and remain balanced on most runouts. Fwiw, it's definitely GTO to have a raising range on the flop. Just not sure how you pick hands to c/r, so that your c/cing range stays defendable.