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KJs ~ Flop call, 3b pot.

12 Posts
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DecMate
Joined: 25.01.2009

PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): $10.00
SB: $9.57
BB: $11.88 (VPIP: 36.11, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 5.26, Hands: 36)
UTG: $10.15 (VPIP: 20.24, PFR: 10.71, 3Bet Preflop: 7.89, Hands: 84)
MP: $39.08 (VPIP: 60.00, PFR: 40.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
CO: $11.06 (VPIP: 17.86, PFR: 17.86, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 30)

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has J♥ K♥

fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.20, SB calls $0.15, BB raises to $1.10, Hero calls $0.90, SB calls $0.90

Flop: ($3.30, 3 players) T♣ 7♥ T♥
SB checks, BB bets $2.43, Hero calls $2.43, fold

Turn: ($8.16, 2 players) T♦
BB bets $4.28, fold

Spoiler

BB wins $7.79

Should I even call this on the flop? Feels like I'm burning money despite the FD.


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11 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Well the bet is quite big and you need to win 29% of the time to make a profitable call. You will hit only about 19% of the time on the next street. Your flush draw is not to the nuts and the board is paired so you have quite nice reverse implied odds too. Imo you could fold.


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

Originally posted by la55i
Well the bet is quite big and you need to win 29% of the time to make a profitable call. You will hit only about 19% of the time on the next street. Your flush draw is not to the nuts and the board is paired so you have quite nice reverse implied odds too. Imo you could fold.

...or you can shove and make him fold alot of better hands like AK-AJ, KQ, maybe some JJ+ and maybe AhXh. :f_biggrin: If he calls, we still have equity.

It feels like all tree options are viable, but I like shoving more than folding and folding more than calling. When we call, even if we hit our flush, we won't get alot of value vs overpairs.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Quite ballsy move and not that common at the micros I believe, but I must say I like the idea But then again I'm not sure if the guy cbets multiway that much with AK-AJ,KQ and if he has JJ+ there is a risk that he gets sticky and calls. For some an overpair can be too good to be folded.


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pokerboy198229
Joined: 20.08.2011

Originally posted by la55i
Quite ballsy move and not that common at the micros I believe, but I must say I like the idea But then again I'm not sure if the guy cbets multiway that much with AK-AJ,KQ and if he has JJ+ there is a risk that he gets sticky and calls. For some an overpair can be too good to be folded.

Yeah, its a call most of the time, and decide turn


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I actually didn't mean that. I did actually point out in the first post that our odds are not quite there and we do have reverse implied odds. Imo calling is the last option but I'm not sure if I prefer shoving over folding like alleen does, but it wasn't a bad idea imo.


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DecMate
Joined: 25.01.2009

Shoving shoving shoving... Quite a ballsy move indeed, especially when theres another guy in the pot.
Think I prefer shoving though to anything else. Calling, I shouldn't of called. So bad. Folding seems weak when we hit one of our main draws.. MmmM:f_rolleyes:


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

Originally posted by la55i
Quite ballsy move and not that common at the micros I believe, but I must say I like the idea But then again I'm not sure if the guy cbets multiway that much with AK-AJ,KQ and if he has JJ+ there is a risk that he gets sticky and calls. For some an overpair can be too good to be folded.

We need him to fold 61% of his range when we have a pure bluff. With the fact that we still have equity vs almost all of his calling range, the real required fold equity is even smaller. I guess it would even be enough for us that he folds only 40%.

I don't have an equilab atm, but maybe will do the math later.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

If we are only 2 in the pot - shove seems like a nice option.
We are mw in the pot and fold seems good.


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CucumbaMan
Joined: 13.10.2017

Is it very nitty to fold this preflop against this huge of a 3bet?


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

It is a squeeze, not a 3bet. If this was BBvsBTN 3bet I think folding might be a bit tight but now that BB gets a very good price to call with a wide range his squeezing range can be a bit tighter. KJ can be dominated often so I think folding might be an option here.


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