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Have no SD value, but have many outs. _open ended oop

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Willy411
Joined: 24.07.2014

Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $5 (100 bb)
BB: $5 (100 bb)
UTG: $5 (100 bb)
MP: $4.48 (89.6 bb)
Hero (CO): $5.14 (102.8 bb)
BTN: $6.18 (123.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q♦: T♠:
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.15, BTN calls $0.15, 2 folds

Flop: ($0.37) 4♣: J♦: K♠: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.23, BTN folds
What is the best strategy? (suppose, Villian use default sizing)
a) c-bet and barreling
b) c/r flop and barel / give up?
c) c/c; T c/c or c/r if we hit it?

Results:

Spoiler

$0.37 pot ($0.02 rake)
Final Board: 4♣: J♦: K♠:
Hero mucked Q♦: T♠: and won $0.35 ($0.20 net)
BTN mucked and lost (-$0.15 net)


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5 replies
mistralx
Joined: 13.08.2014

Firstable, take advantage of statistics: check fold to c-bet. If you play against UNK, I would always c-bet here. He should insta fold 22, 33, 55-TT, missed Ax. Your equity is too strong to check in my opinion.
In fact 8 cards OTT give you nuts, 6 cards at least showdown value.
For me this is bet, bet.


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MrQNo
Joined: 30.09.2006

You only have a drawing hand otf. If you check, the pot will be small. If Villain has TP or better, he will bet flop and turn, and since you have no sd value, you will have to fold otr unimproved. If you hit, you will get one bet, perhaps two. If Villain has a draw, he might check.

So i think you should bet 2 streets. He can fold a lot of better hands. And he can call some worse hands. Perhaps you can even bluff otr. And if you hit a 9, a calling range of BTN might hit 2P or set and pay a complete stack. Seems to me that there is more EV in betting.


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MatoStar
Joined: 22.07.2017

Cbet smaller, 1/3 would be ok and then bet 2/3 - 3/4 OTT.


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Willy411
Joined: 24.07.2014

Why this smaller sizing? (cause I bet for folding 22-TT and he fold them on this sizing too?)


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Mon3yMaChin3
Joined: 15.03.2011

You can not do anything else. Wp


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