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Turn 99 on bluf?

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Willy411
Joined: 24.07.2014

Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $9.52 (190.4 bb)
BB: $5.83 (116.6 bb)
UTG: $5.05 (101 bb)
MP: $4.60 (92 bb)
Hero (CO): $5.07 (101.4 bb)
BTN: $10.26 (205.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 9♣: 9♥:
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.10, Hero calls $0.10, 3 folds

Flop: ($0.27) K♦: 7♠: T♣: (2 players)
MP bets $0.15, Hero calls $0.15

Not too much draws here.. I don't want to fold (or it is ok?).
And how if on the board are 2 suitted hands..?

Turn: ($0.57) 4♥: (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $0.27, MP calls $0.27

River: ($1.11) 7♥: (2 players)
MP checks, Hero checks
I should have bet here too, now it is waste of money.

Results:

Spoiler

$1.11 pot ($0.05 rake)
Final Board: K♦: 7♠: T♣: 4♥: 7♥:
MP showed T♦: Q♠: and won $1.06 ($0.54 net)
Hero mucked 9♣: 9♥: and lost (-$0.52 net)


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

99 is a hand you can put in your 3bet range against a min open from MP. I expect you get still enough value if you 3bet to like 25c in total in position.

Now it’s tough to continue without hitting a set, because the flop hit’s his range a decent amount of the time and is floating to optimistic against a random player on NL5 and I would just give up.

If you want to bluff you need to do it on the river as well, but that depends per villain.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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AlbinJ
Joined: 07.05.2018

Preflop: Standard call
Flop: I would just fold. We have 3rd pair on a board that hits a normal villains open range from MP pretty well.
Turn: Definitely a check here and also check back OTR. What are the reasons to bet here?
Ask yourself, do we have a value bet? No, we have 3rd pair and from my experience 99% of the players barrel the draws that they'll continue with.
Do we need to bluff? No, we have SDV. Although I expect us to lose at SD at a decent frequency.
River as played: As played I would like a big bet in the realms of ~75% of the pot to fold out 2nd pairs (Tx, QQ, JJ). I think most people barrel their Kx on this wet board so I wouldn't expect him to show up with it that often.


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Willy411
Joined: 24.07.2014

Ask yourself, do we have a value bet? No, we have 3rd pair and from my experience 99% of the players barrel the draws that they'll continue with.
Do we need to bluff? No, we have SDV. Although I expect us to lose at SD at a decent frequency.

It is completely for bluf. I think we are behind with this 3rd pair.


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