Hey all,
Looking at it from a purely ICM perspective, our situation here looks really good. We are third in chips, 2 from the money but there are two shortstacks. ICM also accounts for the fact that even if we double up here, our situation doesn't improve dramatically because there are still 2 bigger stacks than us (by quite a bit).
However when the blinds are this large, we need to consider a couple other things. For example, what happens if we fold the hand? If we fold the hand our direct opponent Grann20 wins a massive pot without showdown. Stacks then look like this:
gaffneys (5160)
Hero (1700)
Grann20 (2300)
Denej (830)
irmax (5010)
Couple important things about this situation:
We then become 4th in chips with most likely the bubble coming. We have a bit of fold equity against Grann20 (still not much!), but no fold equity against any other players. Bigstacks get a free push against us. Basically if we fold, our spot sucks.
If we call and lose, stack sizes look like this:
gaffneys (5160)
Hero (900)
Grann20 (3100)
Denej (830)
irmax (5010)
This spot isn't actually that much worse than the first one; our FEQ against Grann20 is now 0..
So basically calling >>>> folding because if we call and lose our spot isn't that much worse than if we outright fold. Not to mention Q6s fares incredibly well against his pushing range here (I'd probably push ATC in his spot at this limit). This hand is harder to judge if blinds were 200/400, but against capable opponents I call in that spot too. 300/600 we have no choice.