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NL5 Zoom AJs

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SZEBI18
Joined: 17.04.2009

Hi!

Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $7.26 (145.2 bb)
BB: $4 (80 bb)
UTG: $5 (100 bb)
MP: $10.60 (212 bb)
Hero (CO): $5 (100 bb)
BTN: $5 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A♠: J♠:
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.12, BTN calls $0.12, SB calls $0.10, BB calls $0.07

Flop: ($0.48) 7♠: 6♠: A♦: (4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $0.35, BTN raises to $4.88 and is all-in, 2 folds, Hero calls $4.53 and is all-in

Turn: ($10.24) T♥: (2 players, 2 are all-in)
River: ($10.24) 7♦: (2 players, 2 are all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

$10.24 pot ($0.42 rake)
Final Board: 7♠: 6♠: A♦: T♥: 7♦:
SB mucked and lost (-$0.12 net)
BB mucked and lost (-$0.12 net)
Hero showed A♠: J♠: and lost (-$5 net)
BTN showed 6♣: 6♥: and won $9.82 ($4.82 net)

I made a range analysis for BTN and it was very surprising for me that he has a very small amount of FD in his hand. And of course he should not raise flop with all of them. Should I fold here with TP + Nut Fd vs All-In?


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8 replies
aent4x
Joined: 13.09.2010

The pot is 10.24$ and you have to invest 4.53$, so you need 4.63/10.24 = 44,2% equity to call here.
If you have some reads on the villain and you think that he has a set (66-77) you have only 29.70% equity here so you have to fold.
But if you give him more hands,like some (5♠:4♠:, 8♠:T♠:,8♠:9♠: or 9♠:T♠: + some :5x::spade: with straight outs) you have more than 52%, so it is a clear call.
With no reads I would call him because I find his all-in OTF strange with set and position. Hope I helped.


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I would go broke here as well. He can easy have Ax as well and you are only in bad shape against a set with the nut flush draw.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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zetozinho
Joined: 18.06.2017

If you fold everytime you get a shove right in front of you with TP and the nut-flushdraw, you'll loose money.
Just call his shove, your hand is too strong.


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Andrepipocado
Joined: 31.01.2018

well played


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

The main thing going for me here is that opponent makes a straight jam, which reduces likelihood of a 2p/set, and increases the likelihood of a 8s9s type of hand.

But in general, I would not checkraise this type of hand and go broke multiway - it just isolates you vs a narrower range and kills your 2p/trip outs. Usually would play this more passively.

In this case, you were the one facing a check/jam. You should usually be up against 8s9s 8sTs 9sTs, the occasional 2p/set (probably would discount these combos by 50% at least).

Even if you gave him all combos of 2p and sets, you have 47% equity vs 44-45% pot odds. If I only gave him 100% of sets, you are still committed.


Board: A♦7♠6♠
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    47.55%  47.35%   0.20% { AsJs }
MP3    52.45%  52.25%   0.20% { 77-66, A7s-A6s, 76s, Ts9s, Ts8s, 9s8s }


Board: A♦7♠6♠
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    45.97%  45.97%   0.00% { AsJs }
MP3    54.03%  54.03%   0.00% { 77-66, Ts9s, Ts8s, 9s8s }


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TyCobb
Joined: 30.03.2006

I think its a fold, cause he raises ai into 3 ppl.

Still dont know if u cld manage to find a fold :(.


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CucumbaMan
Joined: 13.10.2017

It think it is a go broke spot. Top pair with decent kicker and nut flush draw, I don't think we can get away from this one.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I think that when he raises mw he shows he has a set most of the time than any other. The str8-flush combos can be played in other way so I am more inclined to exclude them.


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