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$3 spin. J2s HU, combo draw.

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savage1981
Joined: 31.05.2010

No reads on the villain. Not sure what the best play on the turn is. It kinda sucks to fold this, but I don't think we can call his shove.

PokerStars - 15/30 NL (3 max) - Holdem - 2 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BB): 34.17 BB
SB: 15.83 BB (VPIP: 52.08, PFR: 28.26, 3Bet Preflop: 15.38, Hands: 48)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J♦ 2♦

SB raises to 2 BB, Hero calls 1 BB

Flop: (4 BB, 2 players) 9♦ T♦ 7♥
Hero checks, SB checks

Turn: (4 BB, 2 players) Q♠
Hero bets 2.5 BB, SB raises to 13.83 BB and is all-in, fold

Spoiler

SB wins 9 BB


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5 replies
savage1981
Joined: 31.05.2010

Just realised that it's very similar to benedttooo's hand.


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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

Well you need to call 11.33bb for pot of 31.66bb. So equity needed is 11.33 / 31.66 * 100 = 35.8%

You can assume to have 9 flush outs and 6 straight outs so 15 outs which mean around 32 or bit over equity, I checked with equilab and its 34% versus hand like AhQh that wont block any outs. So calling will be bit minus EV unless villain sometimes has weaker hand as semibluff but that is unlikely.

Its rare to face shove there but well played. In flop its nice to look for check-raise and I would have bet as well on turn. You can bet bit bigger and call unlikely shove but not much difference in big picture.


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savage1981
Joined: 31.05.2010

Thanks. I've discussed it with other people and it's been suggested that if I'm not willing to stack off OTT, then I shouldn't bet. Thoughts?


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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

Well its valid note but at same time getting raised on turn is pretty rare and its nice to have such hand in turn bet range imo. After all you have lot of made hands that want to bet for value and protection. There are lot of bad rivers after all.


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Coach
maniac
Joined: 29.03.2006

yep c/r flop and b/c turn with this sizing is -ev. That's why you want to bet bigger on the turn because your value hands need protection anyway. If you bet bigger you need less equity to call and therefore b/c is +ev.

greets

maniac


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