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AA vs turn raise.

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Casey55
Joined: 19.07.2010

PokerStars, Hold'em No Limit - $0.01/$0.02 - 5 players
Hand delivered by Upswing Poker

UTG: $1.76 (88 bb)
CO (Hero): $3.29 (165 bb)
BU: $3.39 (170 bb)
SB: $1.94 (97 bb)
BB: $1.00 (50 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.03) Hero is CO with A A
UTG calls $0.02, Hero raises to $0.08, BTN calls $0.08, SB calls $0.07, 2 players fold

Flop: ($0.28) 9 9 7 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.09, BTN calls $0.09, SB folds

Turn: ($0.46) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.22, BTN raises to $0.44, Hero calls $0.22

River: ($1.34) 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $0.60, Hero...?

I thought villain would likely 3-bet his best PP's pre-flop. On the flop I think I could have sized up bit the board was kind of dry besides gut-shots and random T8 so I bet small-ish. The turn is a blank except for possibility of 22, I bet again and get raised. Here I think he can have 9x, 77,22. I also think he can potentially have 88,TT or maybe even JJ once in a while. I just call because I think I can be beat and the min-raise seems strong. I planned on folding to a good bet on the river but when ANOTHER 9 comes in it makes it even harder for him to have a 9. I check and villain bets on the smaller side ..slightly under half pot. I need to win 25% of the time . I give his range:

- A9dd,K9dd,Q9dd,J9dd,T9dd and maybe 98dd
- 77,22.

I lose to all of these hands which is 12 combos, If I can give his range TT I can justify the call, if I include an over-played 88 some portion of the time or even some JJ I think I can call. I think theres a decent chance TT and JJ raise pre-flop but some players might flat and I have seen strange things at 2nl. Thoughts?


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5 replies
LMcrow
Joined: 15.08.2006

we only lose against quads, therefore on NL 2 i would just x/r allin OTR for value, calling makes also sense.

Obvious i would never fold on the river against half pot. I think you thinking to much in these spots.
Its more or less a snap call against half pot. I would only think if he has too much bluffs or weak hands that fold in his range if i x/r allin.

Obvious if he has the 9 its a cooler.


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Casey55
Joined: 19.07.2010

Originally posted by LMcrow
we only lose against quads, therefore on NL 2 i would just x/r allin OTR for value, calling makes also sense.

Obvious i would never fold on the river against half pot. I think you thinking to much in these spots.
Its more or less a snap call against half pot. I would only think if he has too much bluffs or weak hands that fold in his range if i x/r allin.

Obvious if he has the 9 its a cooler.

very much so disagree with you. villain's under-bluff at lower stakes. its not over-thinking to give him a range of hands. just because quads is rare doesn't mean we can throw those combos out. we also lose to 77 and 22 which are a possibility. seems like a super over-play to check-raise shove tbh. I have no reads the player is that bad.


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LMcrow
Joined: 15.08.2006

we dont lose against 77 or 22, since the 3rd 9 giving us a higher fullhouse and villian still calls with that part of range i think its an x/r shove even more


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Casey55
Joined: 19.07.2010

Originally posted by LMcrow
we dont lose against 77 or 22, since the 3rd 9 giving us a higher fullhouse and villian still calls with that part of range i think its an x/r shove even more

hahah. that's funny. nice catch dude. your original comment makes much more sense now, I see your point. can't believe I didn't realize that one.


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Seems like a easy shove on the river.
If villain has quads it's just a cooler on NL2.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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