[Closed] [coaching-feedback] NL SSS Gold with xarry2 - wednesdays at 7pm CET

hi PanDuzePE!

I think that there are some reasons for raising smaller on high limits. usually on NL 1k 3 or 3.5BB is still okay. as always: your raisingsize has to depend on the opponents you face. if you've got loose regulars/fishes on the table then normal sized openraises are the better choice. your opponents have to pay and they will pay the higher bet often enough.
if you however have mostly tight players, who almost never call you preflop but only play 3bet or fold against you then smaller raises get interesting. the advantage is first that you can get out of the pot cheaper when you face a 3bet. second you can have a bigger openraising range, maybe with deception openraises.
my strategy on NL 2k+ is to raise like 2.5BB by default. depending on the opponents I vary up and down.

best regards,
xarry

Adv SSS Coaching - 10/28

Unfortunately my new antivirus software crashed my database/hand import. Thus I could not play with stats last coaching. Nevertheless we tried to focus on what we can observe and get our reads this way. BUt even if you have stats on your tables: don't forget to observe. The stats of a certain player may be a good approximation to his actual play but always have to be considered together with the table flow/image, reads and history with this player.

During the session it came to a very interesting hand. I was raising to 3BB from UTG with AQo and a 19BB starting stack. All opponents except the SB who pushed against me with 20BB folded. I remembered him from previous sessions as an advanced shortstack. After considering the pot odds I decided to fold:
(3BB+19BB+1BB)/16BB = 1.44:1 and thus we need ~41% equity against SB's pushing range in order to make profit.

Now we have to determine possible reraising ranges for SB and compare the equity:
vs JJ+/AK AQo has 28.2%
vs TT+/AQ+ we have 34.4%
vs 99+/AJ+ we have 42.7%

What we see is we only have the needed equity if SB pushs with an extremely loose range. Without any reads concering such loose pushes vs UTG I just can fold AQ. The SB however showed his holding: 77.
In the following I want to explain the resteal from SBs point of view.

Of course 77 don't have an equity edge against my UTG openraising range. It is like 9% in average (since there are BSS hands included in the stats my opponents have from me as well). Why else did SB push then? The point is he may not have an equity edge but he has immense foldequity. His push looks extremely strong and without reads I just have to give him credit. Even if you consider my 9% openraising range and assume SB only pushs hands with 50%+ equity you only get a reraising range like: TT+/AQ. Since SB knows I'm a thinking player who acts according to pot odds and equity he knows I will put him on this reraising range at max. And consequently I will have to fold the biggest part of my openraising range. I can only call profitable with JJ+ and AK. This is 3% and since my total range is 9% he automatically has 66.7% foldequity. The EV calculator from my chart collection says with

Pot = 4,5BB
eff. stack = 19BB
deadmoney = the BB - rake: 1BB-~1.5BB = -0.5BB
equity: 77 vs JJ+/AK = 33.3%
foldequity: 66.7%
blind/bet: 0.5BB

that SBs push has an ev of 0.94BB with assumptions we made. Looking at this its getting clear that SB has found a very nice semibluffpushing spot.
I also apply such plays sometimes. They work especially well if your opponent has a loose openraising range but knows you are a tight shorty - and if your image is clean.
I made a note about SBs play. In fact I was thinking about the possibility that he may be bluffpushing sometimes before I folded AQ. But even if I give him a range like TT+/AQ and 22-55 in order to represent some bluffpushs I cannot call. In future it will get more difficult for me to play against his pushs. The problem is: why did he show the hand? well it could be, that he knew I was coaching and wanted everyone to see a "freaky" move. If thats the case he isn't a good player. Just throwing away the clean image and credit I give him for such a small ego-boost isn't a good idea. However, if he just wants to put me to the test and challenges me with this move in order to induce bad plays from me in future, then showing the hand is justifiable. He could use the information he gave to deceive me. From now on I will have to calculate with some bluffpushs from him. But I don't know when he has them. I have to guess - and thats a source of mistakes. if he now switches back to mostly value reraises in this spot I will call him too loose. This increases his payout for his monsters.
Thus the hand he played does not only have a +EV but also deceives his range in the blinds vs UTG and makes him more difficult to play against. On higher limits where 95% of all regs know how to deal with equity/pot odds such a new source of mistakes can increase SBs winnings pretty much. Just imagine a newbie on those limits and a newbie to speculative reraises. He will just note down: freaky reraise => this guy is a maniac => and the newbie will blindly call SBs pushes way too loose. Therefore: always keep track of the gameflow and never forget: nothing stays the same in poker, its all about changing strategies and re-adaptation.

best regards,
xarry

Originally posted by xarry2
Unfortunately my new antivirus software crashed my database/hand import.

Update hold'em manager to the newest version!

If you got Avira, I can maybe help you putting the folder HEM is using to the exceptions list :)!

See you wednesday

I changed to Avira, and its working now

cu gerv!

UTG ($36.95) (AF/Agg%/Fold Cbet/WTSD = 3.6/36%/59/30)
Hero ($17.95)

Dealt to Hero K♦ A♠

UTG raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $4.50, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls $3

FLOP ($9.75) 4♥ 8♦ 2♠

UTG checks, Hero checks

TURN ($9.75) 4♥ 8♦ 2♠ 8♣

UTG bets $2.50,

Hero ?????

I was asking you about post flop play yesterday. This is one example where i decided to check behind. Was it a good option?

Villain has 50% fold to flop C-bet

This is of course a bit diff than usual because im double stacked. But what if i had just 20BB? Will you also check behind?

Originally posted by elhh82
UTG ($36.95) (AF/Agg%/Fold Cbet/WTSD = 3.6/36%/59/30)
Hero ($17.95)

Dealt to Hero K♦ A♠

UTG raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $4.50, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls $3

FLOP ($9.75) 4♥ 8♦ 2♠

UTG checks, Hero checks

TURN ($9.75) 4♥ 8♦ 2♠ 8♣

UTG bets $2.50,

Hero ?????

I was asking you about post flop play yesterday. This is one example where i decided to check behind. Was it a good option?

Villain has 50% fold to flop C-bet

This is of course a bit diff than usual because im double stacked. But what if i had just 20BB? Will you also check behind?

I'm not a very advanced player, but I would definitely C-bet this flop because it is very unlikely he hit anything as the board is very dry.

Hi!

to start with I think you should never consider postflop stats alone. even though the cbet/no cbet question depends much on the postflop stats its vital to also consider UTGs preflop stats. Only by doing so we can estimate his floprange. Thus, we need to take a look at the VPIP and PFR in early position in order to determine which hands he is openraising. Then it can be useful to include the fold to 3bet% as well. After doing that we can say which hands he is (probably) holding on the flop.
Only if you can say something about his floprange you can say cbetting is correct or not. in an reraised pot the fold to cbet stat is often not enough. the ranges vary so much depending on position ect.
reasonable players could call you with TT-QQ or AQ. AK is also possible, but this depends on the style of your opponent. But lets say he now holds TT-QQ and AQ/AK => which hands will he fold?: AQ and AK make up 2.4% out of UTGs 3.8% total floprange and therefore we have 2.4/3.8% ~63% foldequity. Consequently a cbet is profitable. I would bet like 50-55% potsize since the board is very dry. However the whole thing may change with a different floprange for villain.
What we can say in general is that this baord is dry and we don't have many remaining outs. therefore we should try to cbet as much as is profitable. Our preflop play looks very strong and therefore we can easily represent a big pair here.
IF the hand was a normal raised pot and villain just limp/called I think it is still possible to cbet, but we will achieve a much lower foldequity. now the floprange of villain can consist out of low pocket pairs or suited connectors, some low suited aces ect. Our problem is that we can't represent big overpairs that much and therefore we won't be able to make pockets or pairs fold. With the fold to flopcbet % of 50% I tend to checkbehind this hand. the WTS of 30 also indicates that villain calls looser postflop.

=> in the reraised pot cbetting for representing a big hand
=> in a raised pot checkbehind since foldequity is low and we can represent big hands worse

if you give me villains other stats I could be more accurate, since we then now something about his floprange

best regards,
xarry

very nice explanation xarry, i shall remember this analysis and incorporate it into my thinking.

villain's preflop stats are 29/6 btw

well, with these stats I'd like to add two things:

- the reraise is questionable since 6 PFR overall might imply a EP PFR <6 and therefore AK might have no equity edge => bigstacked calling would be my play

- with 29/6 stats he probably isn't a good player and he is too loose. thats why there could be some other hands (if he is openraising them in EP) than TT-QQ or AK/AQ in his 3bet calling range. e.g. some lower pockets or broadways. usually its more difficult to put such a player on a concrete 3bet-calling range.

overall I think you should try to cbet the flop ~55% pot in order to make overcard holdings fold or valuebet against some of them. he could - even though he is so passive - still have some very loose calls in his range. if you get a checkraise from this player you can easily give up.

Adv SSS Coaching - 11/11

Known players: (for a description of vp$ip, pfr, ats, folded bb, af, wts, wsd or hands click here)
[tg]Hero$76,00:///////;MP2$70,00:///////;BB$655,85:///////;BU$80,00:///////;MP1$94,30:///////;CO$94,37:///////;MP3$891,00:///////;[/tg]
2,00/4,00 No-Limit Hold'em (7 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Texas Grabem 1.9 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is SB with A♦, T♠
3 folds, CO calls $4,00, BU folds, Hero raises to $20,00, BB folds, CO calls $16,00.

Flop: ($44,00) A♠, 5♣, 9♣ (2 players)
Hero bets $29,30, CO folds.

Final Pot: $73,30

CO: unknown

I like to review this hand in order to stress that we should also try to raise against limpers OOP, especially against late position limps. Most of the time those limps are very weak. In fact most players would raise/steal all strong hands in those positions. Why else do players limp then? The reason is they either want to trap with a monster or - which is much more likely - they have a hand they are too scared to raise. This means when we face such a late position limp we should by default regard it as weakness. The few exceptions you will encounter should be written down into your notes. You will otherwise loose much money against the few players who always limp AA on the BU.
Which hands should you raise then? And which should rather be opencompleted? A rule which often helps: raise all hands where you think they have an equity edge against the limper. Well, in our case we don't have information about CO. Thats why we have to rely on hand which in average are strong enough to be raised. These are AT+, KJ+, QJ and like A8s/9s. All of those hands are hardly dominated since you will maybe find KQ or KJ in a LP limpers range but almost never AK/AQ. Much more you will see hands like low suited Aces or suited Kings and Queens. Besides of course all sorts of suited/offsuited connectors and low pairs. Against such a range you run pretty good with the hands from above. Depending on the opponent the range you can raise OOP may vary of course. Try to find out as much as you can about his limps and practice to put him on a range. The easiest way is just to observe LP limpers and remember what they had and how they played their holdings. You may ask why I did not include pocket pairs into the range from above. Well, TT+ should be raised. 99 also most of the time. But with 88 and 77 its getting problematic since you will often flop overcards and have to play OOP which makes things more complicated. Thats why I recommend to start with the broadway/medium aces since the have a better playability and if you feel confident in those situations then slowly loosen up with the pairs as well.
Finally I want to scratch which stats are important:

VPIP and PFR (ATS) in LP:
those stats are essential to put your opponent on a limping range. With the VPIP you know all hands he is playing, and with the PFR/ATS you can say which hands out of these he'll probably raise.
i.e. with a 25% VPIP and 12% ATS you could say he limps 13% not the top 13% but maybe something like this: 88-66,A7s-A2s,K9s-K6s,QTs-Q8s,J8s+,T8s+,A9o-A7o,KTo-K9o,QTo,JTo

limp/call% and limp/raise:
with those stats you can estimate the preflop foldequity and the likelyness to get a reraise. beware that most players make the biggest part of their limp/reraises in EP. Therfore this percentage should just be an orientation.
against players who limp/call tight (<40%)you can raise slightly looser since you'll win the preflop pot uncontested more often.

fold to cbet/WTS:
finally, if your opponent limp/calls more often, you need to consider the postflop stats before your raise. against a player who limp/calls loose and does hardly ever fold to a cbet you should not raise hands where you feel uncomfortable about the postflop playability. does your opponent however fold >60% to a cbet you could again think of loosening up your raising range.

In all cases where you exclude the raise you can still continue to play with a complete in the SB or check in the BB. good hands to complete in such a spot with 5:1 pot odds are all pockets which you don't raise on setvalue. you don't have to pay much but you still have implied odds. you can also complete with all broadways and decide on the flop when to play and when not. the only thing you have to care about is the BB. if the BB is an aggressive player who interprets the LP limp and your complete as weakness (which it is indeed) then you will frequently face raises forcing you to give up.

best regards,
xarry

Hi xarry2,
i am just wondering if it would be possible for you to help me to understand the following formula which can be found in your "SSS-Chart Collection" excel sheet:
EV = Pot*Foldequity + (1-Foldequity)[(eff.Stack+Deadmoney)*Equity – ((eff.Stack-Blind)*(1-Equity))]

Are there already some posts where you or others discussed it?

Thank you for your help in advance.

Alll the best, prg09

Hi prg09!

you can find an introduction how to use the EV calculator here on page 6 of this thread, at the end of the page:
NL SSS Advanced by xarry2

considering the formula:

EV =
the formula gives us the EV for many poker situations where foldequity as well as equity are involved.

Pot*Foldequity
this is the money you can win when everybody folds (i.e. foldequity is the likeliness all opponents fold)

+ (1-Foldequity)
what comes now involves all situations where not all opponents fold

[(eff.Stack+Deadmoney)*Equity
that is what we can win. i.e. we can win our effective stack at max + deadmoney which is in the pot. the equity is the chance that we win the pot

– ((eff.Stack-Blind)*(1-Equity))]
the final part includes all situations where we loose => 1-Equity
again we can at max loose our effective stack but if we invested money before the final bet/push (which is already in the pot) then we can't loose this money any longer, thus it's substracted.

If you still got questions about this just post again usually its best if you practice the use of the formula and then you'll quickly get used to it.

best regards,
xarry

Hey Xarry, I'm not sure you already have something like this available, but as I've been reviewing your coaching thread I've been writing down an index guide for it. Your posts have been so well written and with such great analysis that it is a valuable study material. So I think this can be quite useful for anyone who wants to study or get an extra insight on some specific topic.

I'm posting the first 4 pages and will post the rest when I have it.

See you!

Xarry’s coaching review thread

*PG1 *
05/28 > Cbet and 2nd barrel
06/11 > Playing tighter OOP, big stack freeplay – turn and river alternative lines.
06/18 > Cbetting loose opponents, cbetting multiways with OC
extra post > reducing cbets rather than pushing OOP.
06/25 > Regular 3bet vs direct push
07/02 > Playing against donkbets

*PG2 *
07/09 > Downswings; Isolating and delayed c-bet.
07/16 > Pre-flop equity
07/23 > Post flop play: balancing c-bet lines etc.
07/30 > Squeeze-move; cbet trash into 2 loose opp.
08/06 > Pre-flop Equity; c-bets; Cocktail special: The Mojito
08/13 > Extracting value turn and river; draw in multi-way limped pot. Cocktail special: The Sex on the Beach.
08/20 > Stealing, restealing and defending against small steals – extensive analysis
Extra link: (05/07 Adv. SSS Coaching - Calling Resteals). Cocktail special: the Bombay Crushed
08/28 > Isolation raises, determining limping ranges. Cocktail special: The Daiquiri
09/03 > Table image, cbet. Cocktail special: the Pina Colada.

*PG3 *
09/10 > 3 barreling with nothing. Cocktail special: Caipirinha.
09/17 > Blind steals and blind defense: image, history, adaptation and readaptation. Cocktail special: the White Russian.
09/24 (wrong date, says 09/10 again) > Reliability of stats, considering the sample sizes Cocktail special: Licor 43.
10/03 > Playing against SB completer, defending BB passively. Cocktail special: The B-52.
10/08 > Cbet and delayed cbet. Cocktail special: The Dragon Life.
10/15 > Considerations on ch/r vs leading and direct push vs normal raise. Cocktail special: Cucumber Collins.
10/22 > Playing against a flop raise. Cocktail Special: Tequila Sunrise

*PG4 *
11/05 > Defending BB passively. Cocktail Special: Mai Tai
11/12 > When to cbet.
>>Extra post: Considerations on 3betting: small raises vs direct push
11/19 > Pushing looser pre-flop vs limpers
11/26 > When are check-behinds instead of cbets appropriate
12/03 > Pushing T4s against BU open limp
12/12 > Check/raising monsters, considerations about steal/resteal situations.
12/17 > Check/raising monsters, considerations about steal/resteal situations.
01/07 > Playing against donk-bets
01/14 (wrong date, says 01/07 again) > How to treat min-raises on mid-stakes.

first of all thanks xarry for ur thread very helpfull. im studiyng it and improving with it.

and dandycal ur post its priceless thx. if u need help indexing the others pages just pm me.

hi guys! thx for your feedback!

dandycal, great job! I've been working on it before since its absolutely necessary for a thread getting bigger and bigger. but I've just come to page 2 (and a half) ♦
so, you already got me covered. I will post the index of the first 4 pages into my first post. (I've corrected the wrong dates, if there are any other mistakes just tell me!)
thats a start - a good one!

♠_love:

Adv SSS Coaching - 11/18

Known players: (for a description of vp$ip, pfr, ats, folded bb, af, wts, wsd or hands click here)      
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/pfr/af/wts/ats/foldbb/w$sd;Hero$175,00:///////;MP3$958,27:///////;[/tg]
3,00/6,00 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Texas Grabem 1.9 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is BB with J♦, A♥
3 folds, MP3 raises to $18,00, 3 folds, Hero raises to $64,00, MP3 raises to $129,00, Hero raises to $175,00 (All-In), MP3 calls $46,00.

Flop: ($353,00) 3♠, 8♣, 9♠
Turn: ($353,00) 4♠
River: ($353,00) 3♥

Final Pot: $353,00

This hand gets interesting due to our bigger stack. with a stack <25BB it is against many opponents - especially against aggressive - quite profitable to go broke with AJ vs an MP3 steal. With ~29BB we need to take a closer look at the situation in order to say wether we can go broke or not. Before we start: in this spot I never make a value 3bet and fold to a push. If I 3bet, I call a shove from MP3 or I shove myself to a reraise. Reraising for value and then folding to a push is burning money. Rather you should think of the possibility to call your opponent and in case you flop nice cards then continuing the hand. The bigger your stack is the more often you can play a profitable call btw. But the 3bet should still be the preferred action. Further I think you should never opt for a dircet push. This will ensure that absolutely no worse hand will call you and that you're pretty dead in case you get called. By raising smaller we avaid isolating us against monsters since most opponents continue more hands, with a call or a specualtive 3bet which they would never make against a direct push.

What do we have to consider now?

- the openraising range of MP3
- our equity against this range
- the foldequity our 3bet has
- and consequently which hands MP3 goes broke against our stack

=> if we know these points we can determine our EV
Finally I will try to point out what happens if we have another holding.

So, lets start with his openraisingrange. For MP3 I usually combine the ATS and the MP openraise. Unfortuantely we did not have many hands to just rely on stats. Villain had 24 VPIP and 20 PFR over 86 hands. his ATS was 36% so far. Always if you haven't got many stats you need to include other information. While playing I observed MP3s aggressiveness. He was raising a lot at that time and using stealing spots but never made fishy plays. Thats why we can probably say we'Re playing against a TAG - tending to be aggressive. Other information which you can use are the remaining players left to act before MP3 steals. If he only has tight or passive players left to act he will steal a lot more aggressvie than if he has many other good regs or calling stations behind him. In this hand the blinds we're rahter tight. Myself as shortstack and the SB 12 VPIP, 10 PFR. The BU however seemed to be another Reg with 19/12 stats. Overall we can assume that MP3 will steal a lot due to the tight blinds. Since he has a looser Button behind him he however won't steal trash/any 2. He will try to have hands with at least some value playbility.
I could think of a range like: 22+,A2s+,K8s+,Q9s+,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,76s,ATo+,KTo+,QTo+,JTo which is 22.5%. Our AJo has 53.9% equity and therefore we can think of reraising. But as I indicated 50%+ equity do no longer garantee profit if you have more than 25BB. What we will do now is the following: we will pick out 3 different calling ranges: from tight, normal and loose. For every situation we'll calculate the EV and discuss the reults finally.

vs a MP3 calling/pushingrange of:

1) 22+,A5s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,ATo+,KQo (14.9% => 33.8% foldequity, AJo has 47.9% equity)

2) 55+,A8s+,KQs,AJo+,KQo (10.3% => 54.2% foldequity, AJo has 41.9% equity)

3) 99+,AJs+,AQo+ (5.4% => 76% foldequity, AJo has 30.3% equity)

Determining the EV isn't that hard if we just assume what we said: we will go broke against a push. Thus the calculation is:

EV = 27$*Foldequity + (1-Foldequity)[(175+3-3)$*Equity – ((175-6)$*(1-Equity))]

1) EV = 27$*0.338 + 0.662[(175+3-3)$*0.479 – ((175-6)$*0.521)] = 6.33$

2) EV = 27$*0.542 + 0.458[(175+3-3)$*0.419 – ((175-6)$*0.581)] = 3.25$

1) EV = 27$*0.76 + 0.24[(175+3-3)$*0.303 – ((175-6)$*0.697)] = 4.98$

The results promise a +EV play with the assumptions we made. However the profit isn't very big. We have to risk 29BB in order to win <1BB. The hand is somewhere on the borderline between calling or pushing as the better play. The big advantage of a call would be that all the weak hands remain in the stealers range and we have a nice equity edge against MP3. If you're a confident postflopplayer I recommend to rather decide for calling. Especially with worse hands calling as the better option. as well I would sometimes call speculative hands like low pockets on set value or some suited broadways like KJ or QJ. On the other hand such hands remain a better equity against the tight MP3 calling range. 22 for example has against 3) 34.8%, against 2) 36.6% and against one 38.5%. You see: if you assume your opponents folds pretty much also such speculative resteals have a nice profit - if he calls tight enough even a bigger one than a value hand like AJo.
Finally, you should find a mix in your play here. 3betting and calling should be your line. Which play suits better depends on your opponents mostly. If they call very tight against your reraises then you should 3bet more often - and the other way round.
As well the openraising size is important. If MP3 just steal 2.5BB our profit will decrease a lot. everytime he folds we just win less. Thats why I like to call more often against small steals. On the other hand a 4BB openraise is of course very nice if we can achive a high foldequity. Just in comparison, the last EV with 4BB openraise is 9.54$ - almost the double value.

best regards,
xarry

Hi,

At your last training you said something about 13BB stak, when I asked about Sklansky push.

What's the best stack size in your opinion?
For example at FTP with manual rebuy I can have less than 20BB all the time.

What about other rooms. When I should trigger auto top-up?

//NL100

Hi ParticeMilev!

hmm, this depends on different factors. a rule of thumb is: if your opponents give you a payout with 20BB often enough then you don't need to blind down.
this means that if you still face many fishy players or regulars who don't know how to play against SSS corectly you don't need to blind down. often I would say this is still the case on NL 100. however it varies from site to site. On higher limits blinding down gets more intereting since most of your players play halfway correct poker. Especially for reraises or squeezes a stacksize of like 16-18BB has a very nice risk/return ratio. Thats why if there's an "optimal stacksize" it lies in between this range. Thus you can set up an auto rebuy to 18BB as well.
I blind down to 12BB before I rebuy. with smaller stacks the money we can win just gets "ridiculous". also we now can't achive foldequity: everybody calls us down. for the value hands this is nice but there are many hands which need foldequity to make a good profit.
thus I would finally say your stacksize should not be smaller than 12BB and probably has an optimum of ~16-18BB.

best regards,
xarry

Adv SSS Coaching - 11/25

Known players: (for a description of vp$ip, pfr, ats, folded bb, af, wts, wsd or hands click here)      
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/pfr/af/wts/ats/foldbb/w$sd;Hero$170,00:///////;SB$1047,00:///////;[/tg]
5,00/10,00 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Texas Grabem 1.9 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A♠, Q♣
UTG+2 folds, Hero raises to $30,00, 4 folds, SB calls $25,00, BB folds.

Flop: ($70,00) A♣, 2♣, 5♥ (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $37,00, SB raises to $74,00, Hero raises to $140,00 (All-In), SB calls $66,00.

Turn: ($350,00) 2♥
River: ($350,00) 8♥

Final Pot: $350,00

SB: 18 VPIP, 10 PFR, 3bet vs open from EP 2%, coldcall SB 13%, WTS 27, fold to cbet 59%

With this hand I want to briefly scratch the important thoughts you should go through before making your actions. I point at always adjusting your line to the hands of your opponents. In this spot it is about to give SB a callingrange and to evaluate whats the best play on the flop.
With the stats we have we can say one thing already: SB seems to be calling to much preflop. The difference between VPIP and PFR is bigger than it should be. With an 18 VPIP the PFR should not be lower than 12% usually. The coldcall% in the SB with 13 is also looser than average, however this is also due to his lower 3bet%. Villain just defends more with calls than 3bets.
Coming to our hand: He will 3bet QQ+ for sure. I also think AK and JJ are 3bets for him. You may ask why since thats already more than 2%. My reasoning is that most BSS 3bet less often against other BSS than against SSS. They don't have to keep control of the potsize and don't have to care about postflop play since if they reraise against a shortstack the hand is usually all-in anyway. Especially OOP vs UTG many BSS call AK or JJ against BSS but since all they need to 3bet it against a SSS is an equity edge they can do so against most SSSPs. Okay, so which hands can he call then? AQ, AJ and KQ are also hands which you often find in a callingrange OOP. You may find KJ or QJ in SBs range as well since he is on the looser side. Further pocket pairs like 22-99 are likely. TT is on the boarder between a calling and a 3betting hand.
To sum up a possible range is: 22-99(TT), KJ+, QJ, AJ, AQ. This is already 9.7%. Since SB will call a lot more against late position openraises which leads to the 13% coldcall I think we can just stick to this range. Actually its not that important to have any possible hand represented but more important to have all likely hand groups in the range: pockets, high Broadways and the top connectors like QJ.
Whats our play then? well, looking at the range we will make most hands fold with a cbet. as well checking behind would in this special case not risk dangerous freecards sinde we have the Q in clubs which blocks many flushdraw possibilities. As we have to balance our play we however need to cbet this board - mostly. Additionally if we look at his postflopstats we have a loose tendency which could lead to more value from 66-99 or 33 or 44 with gutshots.
Thus: pro cbet speaks balancing and looser opponent.

Should we call the checkraise? Yes! In SBs range you will mostly find only 2 better hands: 22 and 55. AK is as well possible. But thats it. Besides you have AQ where we split, AJ where we get most value. Moreover SB could turn some draws into a semibluffcheckraise. For example flushdraws or even 33 or 44 with a gutshot. Overall, there are much more worse hands which couls stand behind the checkraise than better ones. Thats why be play bet/call(push).

So to sum up:
give your opponent a range by simply combining his action and stats. Then you have to evaluate whats the best line and also before you cbet: what will I do if my cbet gets raised! If you do this pre-thinking before your actions you will have much less pressure on your decisionmaking which in the end leads to better decisions.

Known players: (for a description of vp$ip, pfr, ats, folded bb, af, wts, wsd or hands click here)    
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/pfr/af/wts/ats/foldbb/w$sd;Hero$62,00:///////;SB$90,10:///////;BU$1047,94:///////;[/tg]
2,00/4,00 No-Limit Hold'em (7 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Texas Grabem 1.9 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is BB with K♠, A♦
4 folds, BU raises to $12,00, SB raises to $90,10 (All-In), Hero calls $58,00, BU calls $78,10.

Flop: ($242,20) 2♦, Q♥, 6♣
Turn: ($242,20) A♠
River: ($242,20) 8♠

Final Pot: $242,20

I decided to go broke with AK against the resteal since the SB easily has a restealrange which I beat with AK. My question to you: which is the loosest hand you would push here?

Stats helping you:

BU: 31/15, BU ATS 63%
SB: 10/9, SSS player but able to adjust to different players

Imo its most realistic to only assume value resteals from SB against the fishy BU and then finding out which hands have an edge against this range.
I will post the results as soon as I have got some answers

best regards,
xarry

The loosest hand I would push here is TT and AQo but that is only my assumption, no calculation
maybe even 99 is profitable, but I would be more careful and not push it.
I assume, that SB is also playing with stats, therefore, he may resteal something like 55+ and A8s/ATo+.
I think that important may be also history between SB and you. If he knows, that you are very good SSS he will be more careful about his resteal range, but if he's careless and considers you no threat he will push looser.
Therefore I put him on 55+ and A8s/ATo+ and I call/push TT+/AQo+
I'm looking forward to your answer
Kokaroc

edited:villains range