Full Tilt Poker $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
BB: $62.21
UTG: $31.35
UTG+1: $25.70
MP1: $25.95
Hero (MP2): $50.33
CO: $57.79
BTN: $54.52
SB: $20.10
Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is MP2 with 9
9
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.85, 1 fold, BTN raises to $2.90, 2 folds, Hero calls $2.05
Flop: ($6.15) 4
9
2
(2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $4.00, Hero calls $4
Turn: ($14.15) 5
(2 players)
Hero ??????
Villain is 24/20 with 4.3AF on 218 hands.
I hit top Set on Rainbow which is perfect, I think a Check/Raise here is too transparent and gives away my hand strength due to the lack of draws. My Question is what to do on turn and river, again C/R turn looks strong and I think that a hand that would call a Check/Raise on turn would likely bet river again itself anyway so I don't think I have much to lose by playing Check/Call turn and Check/Shove river, That even allows him to fire a 3rd barrel on the river with AK if he's feeling stupid
Another thought is Check/Call turn and 1/3 to 1/2 pot bet river to get extra value out of JJ and QQ which would not bet again river or call a large bet in that spot. However KK and AA might just call that river bet and not shove so I'd get reduced value from those two hands.
What do you guys think? Am I thinking along the wrong lines of how to extract max value?