NL10 TPTK + Nut Flush Draw

Hand discussions for No Limit

Last Post by veriz 14 years ago

3 Posts

3 Users

0 Reactions

385 Views

RSS

_Anonymous_

18.02.2012, 19:03 0

Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 4 players - View hand 1643716
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: $10.00
Hero (SB): $10.45
BB: $4.09
CO: $11.60

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is SB with A :club: J :club:
1 fold, BTN raises to $0.30, Hero calls $0.25, 1 fold

Flop: ($0.70) T :club: 7 :club: J :diamond: (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $0.45, Hero raises to $1.50, BTN raises to $9.70 all in, Hero calls $8.20

Turn: ($20.10) 8 :diamond: (2 players - 1 is all in)

River: ($20.10) 9 :spade: (2 players - 1 is all in)

BU 23/17 3b: 3.1 over 102 hands | Looks like regular.

1. How I should play this hand ?

Quote

2 replies

MancaMulas

Joined: 12.03.2009

Posts: 4,181

18.02.2012, 19:55 0

If you assume that you up against QQ+/77/TT/JJ only, you have 43% equity. You need to call $8.20 to a final pot of $19.20 (without 4.5% rake) and therefore have a break even equity of 42%. You have 43% against that range, so it's kind of close. 1% edge isn't that much. even if you think he plays like that with JT/J7/K:cQ:c/9:c8:c you have 45%

it's close, and coach always says that it's better to make a close fold than a close call, so if I estimated his range correctly, it would be a fold for me.

during game play, with no time to make this calculations, I would definetly go broke on the flop. We won't flop much better than that.

Quote

veriz

Joined: 20.07.2008

Posts: 64,009

19.02.2012, 01:35 0

Hello qMantas,

Those stats don't tell me much. What about WTSD/W$SD? Do you expect him to capable of going broke here with worse draw/Jx hand? If you go for Check/Raise then of course this means you are going for value.

Best Regards.

Quote