Week 4 Update – Staying Disciplined Through Variance
Hi everyone,
Time for another update.
This week felt like a bit of a mixed one. The beginning of the week actually went really well and I felt like I was playing solid, making good decisions and staying focused.
However, towards Friday and Saturday, it felt like almost everything started going the wrong way — a lot of bad beats, unlucky rivers and spots where I just couldn’t seem to win.
Graph Analysis
Here is the graph for this period:

What stands out:
The graph shows a nice upward trend early on
Then a clear downswing phase
Followed by a small recovery at the end
EV and actual winnings are running quite close again
So overall it looks like a combination of:
Solid play early in the week
Followed by a stretch of unfavorable variance
Mental Game (Big Positive)
What actually felt like a big win this week:
➡️ I did not tilt
Even though I had multiple frustrating spots and bad runouts, I didn’t let it affect my decisions too much.
Compared to earlier weeks (like the QQ vs AA situation), this feels like a big improvement.
Volume
Hands played: ~2,443
Total hands overall: ~19k+
Still playing 2 tables only, which continues to feel like the best setup for me right now.
Bankroll Update
Previous bankroll: €98.75
Current bankroll: €112.72
Weekly profit: +€13.97
PokerStrategy Goal
It’s also becoming clear that I will probably not reach Gold status on PokerStrategy this month.
At first I considered increasing volume, but honestly:
➡️ Playing more tables would reduce my decision quality
And right now:
2 tables = better decisions = better long-term results
So I’m choosing to stick with what works instead of forcing volume.
Maybe in 6 months, when everything becomes more automatic and I move up stakes, it will be more realistic.
What I’m Learning
Variance can shift quickly, even within a few days
Staying disciplined is more important than short-term results
Playing in position and thinking through hands still makes a big difference
Interesting Hands
Hand 1 – Well Played
Hero: A♠ J♠ (in position)
Hero raises from cutoff
Big blind calls
Flop: J♦ 6♣ 2♠
Hero bets → call
Turn: 4♥
Hero continues betting → call
River: 8♣
Hero bets for value → villain calls with weaker Jx
Thoughts
Solid value line:
Played in position
Controlled aggression
Extracted value from worse hands
Hand 2 – Spot to Improve
Hero: Q♣ T♣
Hero calls preflop (out of position)
Flop: K♦ 7♠ 3♥
Hero check-calls
Turn: 2♦
Hero check-calls again
River: blank
Hero folds
Thoughts
This is a clear improvement spot:
Out of position
Weak hand
No clear plan
Calling multiple streets here is likely too loose.
Better to fold earlier and avoid marginal situations.
What I Think I'm Doing Well
• Staying calm under pressure
• Not tilting during bad runs
• Playing fewer tables for better decisions
• More awareness of position
Things I Want To Improve
Avoid marginal calls out of position
Still a recurring leak.
Continue mental discipline
This week was good, want to keep that consistent.
Plan Going Forward
Continue NL2 grind
Stick to 2 tables
Focus on position and discipline
Keep reviewing hands
Long term:
➡️ Possibly move to NL5 in ~6 months when bankroll and skill are ready
➡️ Then higher volume (and maybe status goals) become more realistic
Weekly Report
Hands played: 2,443
Total hands: ~19k+
Previous bankroll: €98.75
Current bankroll: €112.72
Weekly profit: +€13.97